Itron's Q1 Earnings Ahead: Key Factors Investors Should Watch

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Itron, Inc. ITRI is slated to report first-quarter 2025 earnings on May 1, before market open. (Find the latest EPS estimates and surprises on Zacks Earnings Calendar.) 

The company expects first-quarter revenues to be between $610 million and $620 million. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is pegged at $614.3 million, indicating an increase of 1.8% from a year ago.

Non-GAAP earnings per share are anticipated to be $1.25-$1.35. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is pegged at $1.30 per share. The company reported earnings of $1.24 per share in the year-ago quarter.

ITRI’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, with the average surprise being 40.8%. The stock has gained 18.4% in the past year against the Zacks Electronics-Testing Equipment industry’s decline of 7.1%.

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Factors at Play for ITRI’s Q1 Earnings

Strong customer demand, growing uptake of its grid edge intelligence platform and robust operational execution are likely to have cushioned Itron’s performance in the first quarter. The rollout of smart meters and broader adoption of IoT solutions in utilities are tailwinds, while any slowdown in project deployment or budget constraints by utilities could be headwinds.

A steady pipeline of opportunities focused on grid resiliency, capacity, safety and automation is a major driving force. This momentum is fueled by the proliferating uptake of the grid intelligence platform, which has seen 13.4 million distributed intelligence endpoints shipped and more than 15 million applications licensed at the end of the fourth quarter.

In 2024, Itron booked $2.7 billion in orders, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.11. Most of the backlog comes from grid-edge intelligence projects in Network Solutions and Outcomes, covering more than 10 million endpoints. Since many bookings came late in the year, most are likely to boost revenues starting in 2025. With utilities planning multi-year infrastructure upgrades, continued strength in bookings is expected to drive top-line growth in the first quarter.

Itron, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise

Itron, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise
Itron, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise

Itron, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Itron, Inc. Quote

 

Itron’s three business segments offer cutting-edge solutions for energy and water infrastructure. The Device Solutions segment is likely to have been boosted by strong demand for smart water and electric products. Networked Solutions is building momentum with new projects and major deployments, while the Outcomes unit is benefiting from increased recurring revenue, along with growing services and software sales.

We expect first-quarter revenues from the Device Solutions, Outcomes and Networked Solutions segments to be $127.5 million, $412 million and $72.6 million, up 0.6%, 1.1% and 4.9%, year over year, respectively.

The company continues to expand its unique product portfolio, capitalizing on digital infrastructure, energy transition, smart cities and data-driven utility management. On March 12, it introduced IntelliFLEX, a cutting-edge grid-edge Distributed Energy Resource Management System designed to provide real-time visibility, control and optimization of behind-the-meter DERs. By harnessing Grid-Edge Intelligence, IntelliFLEX helps utilities unlock up to 20% additional capacity in the distribution grid while deferring expensive infrastructure investments.

However, increased spending, high debt load and a weak global macroeconomy are likely to have weighed on Itron's performance.