IRS tax backlog smaller leading into 2023 tax season than it was in 2022

It’s no secret that the IRS faced a chaotic mess that delayed millions of income tax refunds from the start of the pandemic in 2020, a mess that lingered and triggered even more misery for many taxpayers well into 2022.

What happens this tax season or next is anyone’s guess. The Internal Revenue Service is likely to start processing 2022 returns in late January — and that's going to add a crush of new 1040s onto a pile of unprocessed returns from last year. Granted, the backlog isn't as huge as it was at the start of 2022 — and that's a very good thing.

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Odds are, experts say, that this year's tax season will be somewhat smoother than last year. But it's back-handed optimism at best.

"2023 is likely to be better but remember how bad 2022 was,” said Edward Karl, vice president of taxation for the American Institute of CPAs.

“I’m not sure how good a 'better' 2023 will be. It remains to be seen," Karl said.

Some 'light at the end of the tunnel'

The National Taxpayer Advocate indicated Wednesday that there’s a beginning for some “light at the end of the tunnel.” Even so, Erin M. Collins, the National Taxpayer Advocate, acknowledged in a report to Congress: “I am just not sure how much further we need to travel before we see sunlight.”

The IRS aggressively engineered a plan to cut into its backlog in 2022 and made solid progress churning through the millions of returns that waited to be processed.

“The IRS starts the 2023 filing season in a far better position,” Collins wrote in her report.

The existing backlog still means that the IRS won’t launch this year’s tax season with anything close to what's viewed as a fresh start, and it’s bound to “create challenges for the 2023 filing season before it even starts and continuing frustration and delays for taxpayers,” according to the National Taxpayer Advocate's annual report to Congress.

More help at the IRS is on the way — but many new hires will need to be trained, so it's not a quick fix.

Taxpayers who e-file may be spared

No one wants to relive last year's tax nightmare.

The majority of taxpayers who e-filed their returns and didn’t have issues saw refunds paid promptly. But tax professionals pulled their hair out trying to work through problems and get in contact with the IRS.

Millions of people waited endlessly for refunds in 2022. It was the third year in a row that the IRS failed at meeting its responsibility to pay timely refunds, according to the taxpayer advocate’s latest report.