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IPH's (ASX:IPH) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

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The board of IPH Limited (ASX:IPH) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of A$0.19 on the 20th of September, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This takes the dividend yield to 5.4%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

View our latest analysis for IPH

IPH Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 140% of what it was earning and 77% of cash flows. While the cash payout ratio isn't necessarily a cause for concern, the company is probably focusing more on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 46.7%. However, if the dividend continues along recent trends, it could start putting pressure on the balance sheet with the payout ratio reaching 114% over the next year.

historic-dividend
ASX:IPH Historic Dividend August 24th 2024

IPH Is Still Building Its Track Record

It is great to see that IPH has been paying a stable dividend for a number of years now, however we want to be a bit cautious about whether this will remain true through a full economic cycle. The dividend has gone from an annual total of A$0.07 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of A$0.35. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20% a year over that time. We're not overly excited about the relatively short history of dividend payments, however the dividend is growing at a nice rate and we might take a closer look.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. Over the past five years, it looks as though IPH's EPS has declined at around 3.2% a year. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends. Earnings are predicted to grow over the next year, but we would remain cautious until a track record of earnings growth is established.

An additional note is that the company has been raising capital by issuing stock equal to 13% of shares outstanding in the last 12 months. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.

IPH's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think IPH will make a great income stock. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.