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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. So when we looked at United-Guardian (NASDAQ:UG), they do have a high ROCE, but we weren't exactly elated from how returns are trending.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on United-Guardian is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.34 = US$3.9m ÷ (US$13m - US$1.9m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, United-Guardian has an ROCE of 34%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Personal Products industry average of 13%.
Check out our latest analysis for United-Guardian
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating United-Guardian's past further, check out this free graph covering United-Guardian's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Can We Tell From United-Guardian's ROCE Trend?
Over the past five years, United-Guardian's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So while the current operations are delivering respectable returns, unless capital employed increases we'd be hard-pressed to believe it's a multi-bagger going forward.
The Key Takeaway
Although is allocating it's capital efficiently to generate impressive returns, it isn't compounding its base of capital, which is what we'd see from a multi-bagger. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 8.1% to shareholders over the last five years. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with United-Guardian (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.