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To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Beach Energy (ASX:BPT) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Beach Energy, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.045 = AU$219m ÷ (AU$5.7b - AU$847m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
So, Beach Energy has an ROCE of 4.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 9.5%.
See our latest analysis for Beach Energy
In the above chart we have measured Beach Energy's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Beach Energy .
What Can We Tell From Beach Energy's ROCE Trend?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Beach Energy doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 21%, but since then they've fallen to 4.5%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, Beach Energy is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 26% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Beach Energy has the makings of a multi-bagger.
On a separate note, we've found 2 warning signs for Beach Energy you'll probably want to know about.