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If you are building a properly diversified stock portfolio, the chances are some of your picks will perform badly. But long term Healius Limited (ASX:HLS) shareholders have had a particularly rough ride in the last three year. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 67% drop in the share price over that period. On the other hand the share price has bounced 6.6% over the last week. The buoyant market could have helped drive the share price pop, since stocks are up 3.3% in the same period.
Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
Because Healius made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
Over the last three years, Healius' revenue dropped 11% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. With revenue in decline, and profit but a dream, we can understand why the share price has been declining at 19% per year. Having said that, if growth is coming in the future, now may be the low ebb for the company. We don't generally like to own companies that lose money and can't grow revenues. But any company is worth looking at when it makes a maiden profit.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Healius' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Healius' TSR of was a loss of 63% for the 3 years. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Healius shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 27% over one year. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 6% per year over five years. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Healius .