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While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (TSE:GOOS) share price has gained 13% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last half decade have been disappointing. In that time the share price has delivered a rude shock to holders, who find themselves down 64% after a long stretch. So we're not so sure if the recent bounce should be celebrated. We'd err towards caution given the long term under-performance.
After losing 11% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
View our latest analysis for Canada Goose Holdings
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the five years over which the share price declined, Canada Goose Holdings' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 13% each year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 19% per year, over the period. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
We know that Canada Goose Holdings has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 21% in the last year, Canada Goose Holdings shareholders lost 7.6%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 10% doled out over the last five years. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Canada Goose Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Canada Goose Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
We will like Canada Goose Holdings better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.