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If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Astrana Health (NASDAQ:ASTH) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Astrana Health, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = US$85m ÷ (US$933m - US$219m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
Thus, Astrana Health has an ROCE of 12%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 11% generated by the Healthcare industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Astrana Health
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Astrana Health compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Astrana Health .
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Astrana Health, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 21% over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
Our Take On Astrana Health's ROCE
While returns have fallen for Astrana Health in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 90% to shareholders over the last five years. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we would look further into this stock to make sure the other metrics justify the positive view.
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing Astrana Health that you might find interesting.