By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Over the last seven trading days, investors have more than doubled the amount of cash invested in a key financial sector fund, in a bet that second-quarter bank earnings will be robust.
Big U.S. banks start reporting quarterly results on Friday and according to data from State Street, the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund <XLF.P>, which tracks the S&P 500 Financials sector <.SPSY>, has pulled in a net $662 million of inflows, bringing the year-to-date inflows to nearly $1.5 billion.
Year-to-date, the Financial Select ETF is up 7.6 percent to $25.01.
"There is good reason for investors to be optimistic about the financial sector," said Randy Frederick, vice president of trading and derivatives for Charles Schwab in Austin, Texas.
"We just had two rounds of stress tests that every single bank passed with flying colors. In general, the banking industry is in very good shape right now," he said.
Shares in the biggest U.S. banks rose at the end of June after they unveiled buyback and dividend plans that topped analyst expectations after the U.S. Federal Reserve approved capital proposals in its annual stress test program.
Some of the fund's top holdings, JPMorgan Chase & Co <JPM.N>, Citigroup Inc <C.N> and Wells Fargo & Co <WFC.N>, report results on Friday and others, including Goldman Sachs Group Inc <GS.N>, Morgan Stanley <MS.N> and Bank of America Corp <BAC.N> will post results next week.
Analysts estimate second-quarter earnings for S&P 500 financial companies rose 7 percent, the third-best growth for a sector after energy and technology, according to Thomson Reuters data.
"The financial earnings are going to probably be better-than-expected because we have seen a tick up in the yield curve, and that is going to be better for net interest income," said Karyn Cavanaugh, senior market strategist at Voya Investment Management in Charleston, South Carolina.
Longer-dated Treasury yields have jumped so far this month while shorter-dated yields have either inched higher or fallen, resulting in a so-called "steepening" of the yield curve.
A steeper yield curve benefits bank profitability since it allows banks to borrow at lower short-term rates and lend at higher long-term rates.
"Financials have managed to make money no matter what gets thrown at them. Regulations, zero interest rates, they still come through. So I think that we're going to see a positive surprise," Cavanaugh said.