If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, the Halcyon Agri Corporation Limited (SGX:5VJ) share price is up 72% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market decline of around 0.01% (not including dividends). So that should have shareholders smiling. Unfortunately the longer term returns are not so good, with the stock falling 11% in the last three years.
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 1 year and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
See our latest analysis for Halcyon Agri
While Halcyon Agri made a small profit, in the last year, we think that the market is probably more focussed on the top line growth at the moment. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.
Over the last twelve months, Halcyon Agri's revenue grew by 24%. That's a fairly respectable growth rate. Buyers pushed the share price 72% in response, which isn't unreasonable. If revenue stays on trend, there may be plenty more share price gains to come. But before deciding this growth stock is underappreciated, you might want to check out profitability trends (and cash flow)
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Halcyon Agri's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Halcyon Agri shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 72% over the last year. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 5% per year over five years. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Halcyon Agri better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Halcyon Agri (2 are concerning) that you should be aware of.