Should You Invest In The Basic Materials Stock Cobalt One Limited (ASX:CO1)?

Cobalt One Limited (ASX:CO1), a AUDA$88.53M small-cap, is a metals and mining operating in an industry which can be affected by shifts in the housing market, as many produced raw materials are components of construction projects. Basic material analysts are forecasting for the entire industry, a strong double-digit growth of 25.15% in the upcoming year , and an enormous growth of 41.20% over the next couple of years. This rate is larger than the growth rate of the Australian stock market as a whole. In this article, I’ll take you through the sector growth expectations, and also determine whether CO1 is a laggard or leader relative to its basic materials sector peers. See our latest analysis for CO1

What’s the catalyst for CO1’s sector growth?

ASX:CO1 Past Future Earnings Nov 27th 17
ASX:CO1 Past Future Earnings Nov 27th 17

Overall, the basic materials sector seems like it has reached maturity in its life cycle. Companies appear to be vastly competitive and consolidation seems to be a natural trend. There are plenty of emerging trends to deal with across the board including the reduction of waste, raw material inflation, and innovation in global supply chain management. In the previous year, the industry saw growth of 6.76%, beating the Australian market growth of 5.37%. CO1 lags the pack with its sustained negative earnings over the past couple of years. The company’s outlook seems uncertain, with a lack of analyst coverage, which doesn’t boost our confidence in the stock. This lack of growth and transparency means CO1 may be trading cheaper than its peers.

Is CO1 and the sector relatively cheap?

ASX:CO1 PE PEG Gauge Nov 27th 17
ASX:CO1 PE PEG Gauge Nov 27th 17

The metals and mining industry is trading at a PE ratio of 14x, in-line with the Australian stock market PE of 17x. This illustrates a fairly valued sector relative to the rest of the market, indicating low mispricing opportunities. Furthermore, the industry returned a similar 11.83% on equities compared to the market’s 11.92%. Since CO1’s earnings doesn’t seem to reflect its true value, its PE ratio isn’t very useful. A loose alternative to gauge CO1’s value is to assume the stock should be relatively in-line with its industry.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? CO1 recently delivered an industry-beating growth rate in earnings, which is a positive for shareholders. If you’re bullish on the stock and well-diversified by industry, you may decide to hold onto CO1 as part of your portfolio. However, if you’re relatively concentrated in metals and mining, you may want to value CO1 based on its cash flows to determine if it is overpriced based on its current growth outlook.

Are you a potential investor? If CO1 has been on your watchlist for a while, now may be the time to enter into the stock, if you like its ability to deliver growth and are not highly concentrated in the metals and mining industry. Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at CO1’s cash flows and assess whether the stock is trading at a fair price.

For a deeper dive into Cobalt One’s stock, take a look at the company’s latest free analysis report to find out more on its financial health and other fundamentals. Interested in other basic materials stocks instead? Use our free playform to see my list of over 2000 other basic materials companies trading on the market.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.

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