Introducing Want Want China Holdings (HKG:151), The Stock That Dropped 23% In The Last Five Years

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Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Want Want China Holdings Limited (HKG:151), since the last five years saw the share price fall 23%. Furthermore, it's down 13% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

View our latest analysis for Want Want China Holdings

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Looking back five years, both Want Want China Holdings's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 0.4% per year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 5.2% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

SEHK:151 Past and Future Earnings, March 9th 2020
SEHK:151 Past and Future Earnings, March 9th 2020

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Want Want China Holdings's TSR for the last 5 years was -11%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Want Want China Holdings has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 5.4% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 2.2% per year over the last half decade. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Want Want China Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.