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As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Bannari Amman Sugars Limited (NSE:BANARISUG) shareholders, since the share price is down 44% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 23%. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 36% lower in that time. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 18% in the last three months.
See our latest analysis for Bannari Amman Sugars
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Bannari Amman Sugars saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 12% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 17% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We've already covered Bannari Amman Sugars's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Bannari Amman Sugars's TSR, which was a 42% drop over the last 3 years, was not as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
Bannari Amman Sugars shareholders are down 36% for the year (even including dividends) , but the market itself is up 9.2%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 2.3% per year over five years. We realise that Buffett has said investors should 'buy when there is blood on the streets', but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality businesses. Before deciding if you like the current share price, check how Bannari Amman Sugars scores on these 3 valuation metrics.