Intertape Polymer Group Inc. (TSE:ITP), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the TSX gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Intertape Polymer Group’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
See our latest analysis for Intertape Polymer Group
What's the opportunity in Intertape Polymer Group?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Intertape Polymer Group’s ratio of 18.73x is trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 17.19x, which means if you buy Intertape Polymer Group today, you’d be paying a relatively sensible price for it. And if you believe that Intertape Polymer Group should be trading at this level in the long run, then there should only be a fairly immaterial downside vs other industry peers. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Intertape Polymer Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Can we expect growth from Intertape Polymer Group?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With revenues expected to grow by a double-digit 11% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Intertape Polymer Group. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in ITP’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at ITP? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?