Instructure Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:INST) last week reported its latest first-quarter results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. It was a pretty bad result overall; while revenues were in line with expectations at US$155m, statutory losses exploded to US$0.15 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
See our latest analysis for Instructure Holdings
Following the latest results, Instructure Holdings' twelve analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$663.1m in 2024. This would be a meaningful 19% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Losses are forecast to balloon 54% to US$0.46 per share. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$661.3m and losses of US$0.28 per share in 2024. While this year's revenue estimates held steady, there was also a regrettable increase in loss per share expectations, suggesting the consensus has a bit of a mixed view on the stock.
As a result, there was no major change to the consensus price target of US$30.09, with the analysts implicitly confirming that the business looks to be performing in line with expectations, despite higher forecast losses. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Instructure Holdings analyst has a price target of US$35.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$25.00. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Instructure Holdings shareholders.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting Instructure Holdings' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 26% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 19% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 13% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Instructure Holdings to grow faster than the wider industry.