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Institutional owners may ignore Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) recent US$5.9b market cap decline as longer-term profits stay in the green

In This Article:

Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Vistra's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions

  • The top 20 shareholders own 50% of the company

  • Recent sales by insiders

Every investor in Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 85% to be precise, is institutions. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

Institutional investors endured the highest losses after the company's market cap fell by US$5.9b last week. However, the 212% one-year returns may have helped alleviate their overall losses. They should, however, be mindful of further losses in the future.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Vistra, beginning with the chart below.

See our latest analysis for Vistra

ownership-breakdown
NYSE:VST Ownership Breakdown February 24th 2025

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Vistra?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

Vistra already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Vistra's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:VST Earnings and Revenue Growth February 24th 2025

Investors should note that institutions actually own more than half the company, so they can collectively wield significant power. We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Vistra. The Vanguard Group, Inc. is currently the company's largest shareholder with 13% of shares outstanding. With 8.7% and 5.8% of the shares outstanding respectively, BlackRock, Inc. and FMR LLC are the second and third largest shareholders.

After doing some more digging, we found that the top 20 have the combined ownership of 50% in the company, suggesting that no single shareholder has significant control over the company.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.