Inmobiliaria Colonial SOCIMI SA (FRA:HSC2) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Earnings ...

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Release Date: November 14, 2024

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Inmobiliaria Colonial SOCIMI SA (FRA:HSC2) reported a 15% increase in earnings to EUR 147 million for Q3 2024 compared to the previous year.

  • Gross rental income reached EUR 293 million, marking a 6.5% like-for-like increase, which is at the high end of industry expectations.

  • The company achieved a release spread of 8%, indicating strong rental growth compared to previous contracts.

  • The Paris portfolio showed significant growth with a 7.4% increase in rental income and a 19% release spread.

  • Moody's upgraded the company's rating, reflecting improved sustainability and lower leverage due to conservative financial policies.

Negative Points

  • There is uncertainty regarding potential changes to the tax regime for REITs in Spain, which could impact the company's financials.

  • The potential worst-case scenario of a new tax regime could lead to a 1-2% impact on EPS, despite the use of tax credits.

  • The company faces challenges in the Spanish market due to ongoing discussions about changes in tax treatment for REITs.

  • The occupancy rate for some new projects, such as the Magnum project, is still in progress, indicating potential risks in achieving full occupancy.

  • The financial performance is partly reliant on the favorable conditions in the Paris market, which may not be sustainable long-term.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Is the increase in EPS guidance due to lower disposals, and how long will the 1-2% EPS impact from the potential tax regime change last? A: The EPS performance is driven by stronger-than-expected top-line growth and wise management of financial expenses, not by revised disposals. The 1-2% EPS impact from the tax regime change is based on limited annual use of tax credits, which can be replicated in future years without further impact. - Unidentified_1

Q: How do you interpret the CRE figures showing stable rents but rising capital values, and is there a slowdown in B growth? A: The CRE figures suggest strong fundamentals for rental growth, particularly in the Paris market, due to supply-demand imbalances. The slight decrease in B growth in Q3 is contract-specific and not indicative of a slowdown. We remain confident in continued rental growth. - Unidentified_3

Q: Can you confirm the 5 billion tax credit is included in the 1-2% EPS impact, and why is an 18.75% tax rate applied? A: Yes, the 5 billion tax credit is included in the EPS impact. The 18.75% tax rate results from a limited annual use of tax credits, which reduces the effective tax rate from 25% to 18.75%. - Unidentified_1