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How Housing Development and Infrastructure Limited (NSE:HDIL) Can Impact Your Portfolio Volatility

If you’re interested in Housing Development and Infrastructure Limited (NSE:HDIL), then you might want to consider its beta (a measure of share price volatility) in order to understand how the stock could impact your portfolio. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. The first category is company specific volatility. This can be dealt with by limiting your exposure to any particular stock. The second sort is caused by the natural volatility of markets, overall. For example, certain macroeconomic events will impact (virtually) all stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Some investors use beta as a measure of how much a certain stock is impacted by market risk (volatility). While we should keep in mind that Warren Buffett has cautioned that ‘Volatility is far from synonymous with risk’, beta is still a useful factor to consider. To make good use of it you must first know that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta below one is either less volatile than the market, or more volatile but not corellated with the overall market. In comparison a stock with a beta of over one tends to be move in a similar direction to the market in the long term, but with greater changes in price.

View our latest analysis for Housing Development and Infrastructure

What does HDIL’s beta value mean to investors?

Looking at the last five years, Housing Development and Infrastructure has a beta of 1.64. The fact that this is well above 1 indicates that its share price movements have shown sensitivity to overall market volatility. If this beta value holds true in the future, Housing Development and Infrastructure shares are likely to rise more than the market when the market is going up, but fall faster when the market is going down. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see Housing Development and Infrastructure’s revenue and earnings in the image below.

NSEI:HDIL Income Statement Export September 2nd 18
NSEI:HDIL Income Statement Export September 2nd 18

How does HDIL’s size impact its beta?

Housing Development and Infrastructure is a noticeably small company, with a market capitalisation of ₹13.19b. Most companies this size are not always actively traded. It takes less money to influence the share price of a very small company. This may explain the excess volatility implied by this beta value.

What this means for you:

Since Housing Development and Infrastructure tends to moves up when the market is going up, and down when it’s going down, potential investors may wish to reflect on the overall market, when considering the stock. In order to fully understand whether HDIL is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Housing Development and Infrastructure’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

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