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Home values flatten as sellers outnumber buyers

In This Article:

Buyers wrestling with economic turmoil and affordability challenges were less motivated by lower rates in March

  • Home values nearly stood still, rising 0.2% during a month normally characterized by high growth.

  • New shoppers have 19% more options to choose from than a year ago, and a rising share of homes have been on the market for more than a month.

  • Sellers cut prices on a record-high 23.5% of listings on Zillow.

SEATTLE, April 17, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Home price growth paused and inventory swelled during what is typically one of the most competitive home shopping months of the year, according to Zillow's latest market report1. That's despite mortgage rates reaching a 2025 low in March.

Zillow logo (PRNewsfoto/Zillow Group)
Zillow logo (PRNewsfoto/Zillow Group)

"More sellers came out to test their luck as rates ticked down in March, but home sales didn't keep up. Buyers — especially first-timers without equity to pour into their down payment — continue to struggle with affordability and now are facing even higher levels of uncertainty," said Zillow Chief Economist Skylar Olsen. "A turbulent economy likely weighs more heavily on first-time buyers than more firmly established sellers."

Sellers made a strong showing in March, putting more than 375,000 homes on the market — an increase of nearly 9% compared to the same time last year. While listing activity is still about 19% below a typical March before the pandemic, it's steadily rising month over month and tracking closely with seasonal trends.

While sellers leaned on the gas, buyers didn't keep up. Newly pending sales were essentially flat compared to last year, even though average mortgage rates were lower this year — 6.65% on average in March, compared to 6.82% a year before. About 265,000 listings went into a pending sale in March — 110,000 fewer than came on the market.

This mismatch pushed inventory up to 1.15 million homes — 19% over last year — the most inventory buyers have seen in March since 2020. Inventory now stands 24% below 2018-2019 averages for this time of year. That's a noticeable improvement from March 2023 and March 2024, when inventory was down 43% and 36%, respectively, compared to pre-pandemic levels.

With more options available, competition cooled, and home price growth slowed significantly. The typical home value rose 0.2% month over month in March, unadjusted for seasonality. That's by far the slowest growth for this time of year since at least 2018; the second-slowest was 0.7%. Still, home values fell monthly in just five major metros: the four major Florida markets and San Antonio. Appreciation of home values nationwide is fairly slow but positive over last year at 1.2%.