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Holmen AB (HLMMF) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Operating Profit Amidst Market Challenges

In This Article:

  • Operating Profit: Over $1 billion SEK in Q3.

  • Return on Capital Employed: 16% for the last year, average 18% over the last 10 years.

  • Net Debt: 6% of equity, approximately $3.5 billion SEK.

  • Cash Flow from Forest Activities: Increased by 60% over the last three years.

  • Electricity Prices: Lowest in Sweden in the last 20 years during Q3.

  • Log Costs: Record high, 50% higher than three years ago.

  • Board and Paper Division: Strong performance with stable prices and favorable mix.

  • Seasonal Cost Reduction: $80 million SEK lower in Q3 compared to previous quarter.

  • Expected Q4 Impact: Profit impact of $250 million SEK due to maintenance and rebuild.

Release Date: October 24, 2024

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Holmen AB (HLMMF) achieved an operating profit of over $1 billion in the third quarter, driven by strong performance in board and paper segments.

  • The company has maintained a strong financial position with a return on capital employed of 16% over the past year.

  • Holmen AB (HLMMF) has successfully increased cash flow from forest activities by 60% over the last three years.

  • The board and paper division showed a stellar performance, with a strong mix and good volumes contributing equally to EBIT.

  • Holmen AB (HLMMF) has been able to distribute significant returns to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks, amounting to $6 billion.

Negative Points

  • The company faces challenges due to high log costs, especially in the southern parts of Sweden, impacting the wood products segment.

  • Electricity prices in Sweden were at a 20-year low, affecting revenue from renewable energy operations.

  • The wood products market is experiencing weak demand and high log costs, leading to operational challenges.

  • Holmen AB (HLMMF) anticipates a headwind in Q4 due to maintenance shutdowns and lower demand in the board and paper division.

  • The company is facing a challenging market environment with oversupply and high costs, particularly in the sawmill operations in southern Sweden.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Looking forward to Q4, how do you see the demand for consumer paperboard, and what impact will the maintenance shutdowns have on earnings? A: The outlook for Q4 is challenging due to lower demand for consumer paperboard in Europe and the impact of maintenance shutdowns, which are expected to affect earnings by about $250 million. The lag between log prices and end product prices for wood products is roughly 6 to 8 months.