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CTP N.V. (AMS:CTPNV) posted some decent earnings, but shareholders didn't react strongly. Our analysis suggests they may be concerned about some underlying details.
View our latest analysis for CTP
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. CTP expanded the number of shares on issue by 5.6% over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out CTP's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
A Look At The Impact Of CTP's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
CTP has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 5.4% in that time. But on the other hand, earnings per share actually fell by 11% per year. And over the last 12 months, the company grew its profit by 17%. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 15% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.
In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So CTP shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted CTP's net profit by €942m over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that CTP's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
Our Take On CTP's Profit Performance
In its last report CTP benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at CTP's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with CTP (including 1 which is concerning).