At HK$15.28, Is It Time To Put Shanghai Industrial Holdings Limited (HKG:363) On Your Watch List?

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Shanghai Industrial Holdings Limited (HKG:363), which is in the industrials business, and is based in Hong Kong, saw significant share price movement during recent months on the SEHK, rising to highs of HK$17.44 and falling to the lows of HK$14.66. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Shanghai Industrial Holdings's current trading price of HK$15.28 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Shanghai Industrial Holdings’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Industrial Holdings

Is Shanghai Industrial Holdings still cheap?

According to my valuation model, Shanghai Industrial Holdings seems to be fairly priced at around 12% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Shanghai Industrial Holdings today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is HK$17.38, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Shanghai Industrial Holdings’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of Shanghai Industrial Holdings look like?

SEHK:363 Past and Future Earnings, September 1st 2019
SEHK:363 Past and Future Earnings, September 1st 2019

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Shanghai Industrial Holdings’s earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? 363’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?