History Says the S&P 500 Will Surge in 2025: 2 Stock-Split Stocks to Buy Before It Does

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The S&P 500 is in the midst of a market rally that has persisted for more than two years and continues to defy detractors. A solid economic outlook, growing corporate profits, and the vast potential of artificial intelligence (AI) have all helped fuel the market's advances. After gaining 24% in 2023, the benchmark index tacked on gains of 23% in 2024. Market history suggests the S&P will likely continue to climb higher in 2025.

Over the past 50 years, the S&P 500 has generated positive returns 78% of the time. Additionally, following years with successive gains of more than 20%, the S&P has risen 12%, an average, which suggests there's still upside ahead.

There's also been a resurgence in the popularity of stock splits, causing investors to reexamine companies that have split their shares since this corporate action has historically been preceded by strong operating and financial results, helping drive the stock price higher.

Let's review two companies with impressive track records that are worth a look.

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Image source: Getty Images.

1. Arista Networks

The first long-term winner investors should be watching is Arista Networks (NYSE: ANET). The stock has gained 66% over the past year and is up 2,880% over the past decade (as of this writing). This performance encouraged management to conduct a 4-for-1 stock split, which was completed in December. Despite the company's long track record, the advent of generative AI a couple of years ago represents a compelling opportunity that has only just begun.

Arista Networks claim to fame was the development of groundbreaking network switches that connect high-speed servers and other devices on a network with near instantaneous response times. The company now boasts a whole suite of offerings that includes switches, routers, and other networking equipment used to speed data between servers, data centers, and across networks. Arista recently developed custom Ethernet systems designed to meet the rigorous demands of the large language models (LLMs) that form the foundation of AI.

In the third quarter, Arista generated revenue of $1.8 billion, up 20% year over year and 7% sequentially. This generated earnings per share (EPS) of $2.33, an increase of 35%. The results easily surpassed Wall Street's expectations and management's previously issued guidance. Shareholders are looking forward to a similar performance when Arista releases its fourth-quarter results after the market close on Tuesday, Feb. 18.

As the bull market continues to run, investors are becoming more aware of rising valuations. Arista Networks is currently selling for 56 times earnings, which would make the stock unattractive to some investors. However, its forward price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio — a metric that's more appropriate for high-growth stocks — comes in at 0.95, when any number less than 1 is the standard for an undervalued stock.