Hilton (NYSE:HLT) Reports Sales Below Analyst Estimates In Q1 Earnings

HLT Cover Image — Hilton (NYSE:HLT) Reports Sales Below Analyst Estimates In Q1 Earnings

Adam Hejl

Tue, Apr 29, 2025, 3:30 AM 5 min read

Revenue: $2.70 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.72 billion (4.7% year-on-year growth, 0.9% miss)
Adjusted EPS: $1.72 vs analyst estimates of $1.61 (7% beat)
Adjusted EBITDA: $795 million vs analyst estimates of $784.1 million (29.5% margin, 1.4% beat)
Management raised its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $7.85 at the midpoint, a 1.1% increase
EBITDA guidance for the full year is $3.68 billion at the midpoint, in line with analyst expectations
Operating Margin: 19.9%, in line with the same quarter last year
RevPAR: $103.59 at quarter end, in line with the same quarter last year
Market Capitalization: $53.1 billion

Christopher J. Nassetta, President & Chief Executive Officer of Hilton, said, "We are pleased with our first quarter results, with strong bottom line performance, even with somewhat weaker macroeconomic conditions. Additionally, we expect our industry-leading brands and powerful commercial engines to continue to drive strong net unit growth. Overall, we remain optimistic about our growth opportunities and are well positioned to continue creating value for our stakeholders in 2025 and beyond. "

Company Overview

Founded in 1919, Hilton Worldwide (NYSE:HLT) is a global hospitality company with a portfolio of hotel brands.

Sales Growth

Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but the best consistently grow over the long haul. Regrettably, Hilton’s sales grew at a sluggish 4.3% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This was below our standard for the consumer discretionary sector and is a rough starting point for our analysis.

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within consumer discretionary, a stretched historical view may miss a company riding a successful new property or trend. Hilton’s annualized revenue growth of 9.9% over the last two years is above its five-year trend, but we were still disappointed by the results.

We can dig further into the company’s revenue dynamics by analyzing its revenue per available room, which clocked in at $103.59 this quarter and is a key metric accounting for daily rates and occupancy levels. Over the last two years, Hilton’s revenue per room averaged 3.4% year-on-year growth. Because this number is lower than its revenue growth, we can see its sales from other areas like restaurants, bars, and amenities outperformed its room bookings.

This quarter, Hilton’s revenue grew by 4.7% year on year to $2.70 billion, falling short of Wall Street’s estimates.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 8.6% over the next 12 months, similar to its two-year rate. This projection is underwhelming and indicates its products and services will face some demand challenges.

Here at StockStory, we certainly understand the potential of thematic investing. Diverse winners from Microsoft (MSFT) to Alphabet (GOOG), Coca-Cola (KO) to Monster Beverage (MNST) could all have been identified as promising growth stories with a megatrend driving the growth. So, in that spirit, we’ve identified a relatively under-the-radar profitable growth stock benefiting from the rise of AI, available to you FREE via this link.

Operating Margin

Hilton’s operating margin might fluctuated slightly over the last 12 months but has remained more or less the same, averaging 21.2% over the last two years. This profitability was top-notch for a consumer discretionary business, showing it’s an well-run company with an efficient cost structure.

This quarter, Hilton generated an operating profit margin of 19.9%, in line with the same quarter last year. This indicates the company’s overall cost structure has been relatively stable.

Earnings Per Share

Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Hilton’s EPS grew at a solid 13.7% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 4.3% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

In Q1, Hilton reported EPS at $1.72, up from $1.53 in the same quarter last year. This print beat analysts’ estimates by 7%. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Hilton’s full-year EPS of $7.30 to grow 11.8%.

Key Takeaways from Hilton’s Q1 Results

It was encouraging to see Hilton beat analysts’ EPS expectations this quarter. On the other hand, its revenue slightly missed and its EBITDA guidance for next quarter fell short of Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, this was a weaker quarter. The stock traded down 2.3% to $216.73 immediately after reporting.

So do we think Hilton is an attractive buy at the current price? We think that the latest quarter is just one piece of the longer-term business quality puzzle. Quality, when combined with valuation, can help determine if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

Terms and Privacy Policy

Your Privacy Choices

Utah Privacy Notice

More Info