Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying PepsiCo's (NASDAQ:PEP) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Therefore, if you purchase PepsiCo's shares on or after the 7th of March, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 31st of March.

The company's upcoming dividend is US$1.355 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of US$5.69 per share to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, PepsiCo has a trailing yield of 3.5% on the current stock price of US$153.47. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

See our latest analysis for PepsiCo

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Its dividend payout ratio is 76% of profit, which means the company is paying out a majority of its earnings. The relatively limited profit reinvestment could slow the rate of future earnings growth. We'd be worried about the risk of a drop in earnings. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. It paid out 101% of its free cash flow in the form of dividends last year, which is outside the comfort zone for most businesses. Companies usually need cash more than they need earnings - expenses don't pay themselves - so it's not great to see it paying out so much of its cash flow.

While PepsiCo's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were PepsiCo to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.