Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged

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The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates unchanged.

On Wednesday, the U.S. central bank released its latest policy statement, maintaining a target benchmark interest rate range of 1.5%-1.75%.

Wall Street had expected the Fed would make no changes to its interest rate policy on Wednesday after raising rates in March for the sixth time since the financial crisis. Wednesday’s announcement was not accompanied by a press conference with Fed chair Jay Powell nor were updated economic forecasts from the Fed released.

In its statement, the Fed said, “Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a moderate rate. Job gains have been strong, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has stayed low.”

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks following the Federal Open Market Committee meeting in Washington in March. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve releases its latest monetary policy statement after a two-day meeting. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks following the Federal Open Market Committee meeting in Washington in March. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve releases its latest monetary policy statement after a two-day meeting. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)

The biggest development in the statement, however, was a tweak in the Fed’s language with respect to inflation.

On a 12-month basis, both overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy have moved close to 2 percent,” the Fed’s statement said.

The Fed has a goal of 2% price inflation.

In March, the Fed said that inflation excluding food and energy had “continued to run below 2 percent” on a 12-month basis.

And so in making this change, Fed officials are acknowledging that inflation is getting closer to its target. In March, personal consumption expenditures (PCE) rose 1.9% over the prior year when stripping out food and energy. Core PCE is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation.

A sustained turn in inflation above this 2% target, or even a sustained period of inflation hitting this target, could change the Fed’s policy outlook in the coming years.

Following the release, equity markets in the U.S. were higher, but little-changed, with the Dow up 0.2%, the S&P 500 u 0.1%, and the Nasdaq up 0.3%.

In the bond market, Treasuries were higher, but little-changed, with the 2-year yield right at 2.5% and the 10-year sitting at 2.96%. Last week, the 10-year moved above 3% for the first time in four years.

The Fed’s statement also had no mention of the trade tensions that some economists have warned could impact the economic outlook both in the U.S. and abroad. The Fed also removed a sentence from the March statement which said, “The economic outlook has strengthened in recent months.”

Here’s the full text of the Fed’s announcement:

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a moderate rate. Job gains have been strong, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has stayed low. Recent data suggest that growth of household spending moderated from its strong fourth-quarter pace, while business fixed investment continued to grow strongly. On a 12-month basis, both overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy have moved close to 2 percent. Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance.