Hengyuan Refining Company Berhad (KLSE:HENGYUAN) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

When close to half the companies in Malaysia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may consider Hengyuan Refining Company Berhad (KLSE:HENGYUAN) as a highly attractive investment with its 4.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Hengyuan Refining Company Berhad certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Hengyuan Refining Company Berhad

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KLSE:HENGYUAN Price Based on Past Earnings January 1st 2023

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hengyuan Refining Company Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Hengyuan Refining Company Berhad?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hengyuan Refining Company Berhad would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 242% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 1,805% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 8.7% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it odd that Hengyuan Refining Company Berhad is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Hengyuan Refining Company Berhad's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Hengyuan Refining Company Berhad revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.