As the New Year looms, there’s a new low in home equity lending. The $30,000 HELOC (home equity line of credit) plunged nine basis points to 8.43 percent—rates we haven’t seen in about a year and a half, according to Bankrate’s national survey of lenders. In contrast to HELOCs’ significant drop, the average $30,000 home equity loan didn’t budge, remaining at 8.41 percent.
Since the Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates this autumn, HELOC rates have been trending lower. The question is: Will they continue to fall in the upcoming year?
“How much lower HELOC rates will go in 2025 is unclear at the moment,” says Melissa Cohn, regional vice president of William Raveis Mortgage, a Connecticut-based lender. “Ongoing strength in the economy will slow down the pace of any future rate cuts. Policies of the new administration on tariffs, immigration and tax cuts are seen as inflationary and could cause the Fed to pause on any further cuts.
“The Fed reacts to the economy. If it remains strong, cuts will be fewer than expected,” she adds.
| Current | 4 weeks ago | One year ago | 52-week average | 52-week low |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.43% | 8.56% | 10.11% | 9.13% | 8.43% | |
15-year home equity loan | 8.49% | 8.49% | 9.08% | 8.69% | 8.37% |
10-year home equity loan | 8.56% | 8.55% | 9.07% | 8.73% | 8.46% |
What’s driving home equity rates today?
While HELoan rates have sunk but bobbed around a bit in recent months, HELOC rates have steadily moved lower in 2024 — and the pace quickened with the onset of autumn. Their moves are currently being driven by two factors: lender competition — as banks and mortgage companies try to attract applicants with low-for-a-limited-time loan terms — and the Fed’s actions. On Dec. 18, the Fed cut interest rates by a quarter point at its final meeting of the year.
“HELOC rates will be sensitive to declining interest rates and borrowers will see rates steadily moving lower, even faster than fixed-rate home equity loans,” says Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate. “HELOC rates could fall faster than credit card rates, particularly if competition brings about introductory offers and if credit card issuers are skittish about delinquencies and slower to pass along lower rates.”
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Home equity trends
The average equity gain of homeowners between the third quarter of 2024 and the third quarter of 2023 was $5,700.
In the third quarter of 2024, total net homeowner equity soared to more than $17.5 trillion.
HELOCs comprised 17.8% of all home-based loans in Q3 2024, almost four times the level recorded in early 2021.