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Heineken Holding's (AMS:HEIO) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings

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Heineken Holding N.V.'s (AMS:HEIO) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock price showed strength. However, we think the company is showing some signs that things are more promising than they seem.

See our latest analysis for Heineken Holding

earnings-and-revenue-history
ENXTAM:HEIO Earnings and Revenue History February 20th 2025

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Importantly, our data indicates that Heineken Holding's profit was reduced by €421m, due to unusual items, over the last year. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Heineken Holding to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Heineken Holding.

Our Take On Heineken Holding's Profit Performance

Because unusual items detracted from Heineken Holding's earnings over the last year, you could argue that we can expect an improved result in the current quarter. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Heineken Holding's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example - Heineken Holding has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Heineken Holding's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.