Hedge Fund Mangrove Partners’ Top Stock Picks

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Mangrove Partners was founded by Nathaniel August, who is also the fund’s president and portfolio manager. Mr August holds a B.A. from Brown University, and prior to launching his fund, he worked as a director at White Eagle Partners, as an Investment Analyst at K Capital Partners, as a Senior Analyst at Brahman Capital Partners, and as an Analyst at Goldman Sachs in the Principal Investment Area. Mangrove Partners employs four principal strategies, long/short strategy, stressed and distressed, capital structure arbitrage, and liquidations and arbitrage.

During the last several years, the fund had periods of incredible performance, shifting with periods of abrupt drops. Starting from 2014, the fund returned 27.6%, followed by a drop of -2.28% in 2015. In 2016 the fund showed the best performance, with incredible return of 51.4%. The following years' returns were 8.6% in 2017 and -1.1% in 2018. Year to date, the fund returned a positive 7.59% (as of June 2019), and generated an annualized return of 13.2%. The most impressive fact about Mangrove Partners' returns is that it shows nearly zero correlation with the S&P 500 Index's return which is very rare to find these days. This means Mangrove Partners investors don't necessarily have to rely on hedge fund managers like this one betting on Dow hitting 40,000 to generate double digit returns.

Nathaniel August - Mangrove Partners
Nathaniel August - Mangrove Partners

Insider Monkey’s mission is to identify promising (and also terrible) hedge fund stock pitches and share them with our subscribers. Our long strategy is based on the consensus picks of the 100 best performing hedge funds. This strategy was launched 5 years ago and generated a cumulative return of 115%. You can think of it as a mutual fund that returned 16.2% annually over the last 5 years, vs. 11.1% annual gain for the S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Basically we outperform the S&P 500 Index by 5 percentage points annually by identifying the top stock picks of the best hedge fund managers (see the details here). By tracking the best performing hedge funds we have been able to identify extremely attractive priced stocks.

Our short strategy is based on shorting hedge fund hotels that are likely to experience large hedge fund sales during market weaknesses. We launched this strategy in February 2017. It’s been almost 2.5 years and the stock picks of this strategy lost a cumulative 24.7% vs. a cumulative gain of 30.8% for the S&P 500 ETF. This is an absolutely mind blowing performance. The annualized return of our short picks is -11.2%, vs. 11.8% annualized gain for the S&P 500 Index during the same period. The annual alpha of this strategy is 23 percentage points. Jim Chanos doesn’t generate this kind of performance. The best thing about this short strategy is that it provides an excellent hedge during market meltdowns. For example, in Q4 of 2018 when the S&P 500 Index lost nearly 14%, this strategy’s picks lost 25% protecting our premium subscribers from large losses.