- By GF Value
The stock of HC2 Holdings (NYSE:HCHC, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $4.17 per share and the market cap of $320.1 million, HC2 Holdings stock appears to be significantly overvalued. GF Value for HC2 Holdings is shown in the chart below.
Because HC2 Holdings is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth.
Link: These companies may deliever higher future returns at reduced risk.
Investing in companies with poor financial strength has a higher risk of permanent loss of capital. Thus, it is important to carefully review the financial strength of a company before deciding whether to buy its stock. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great starting point for understanding the financial strength of a company. HC2 Holdings has a cash-to-debt ratio of 8.35, which is better than 86% of the companies in Telecommunication Services industry. GuruFocus ranks the overall financial strength of HC2 Holdings at 4 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of HC2 Holdings is poor. This is the debt and cash of HC2 Holdings over the past years:
Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. HC2 Holdings has been profitable 3 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $1 billion and loss of $2.047 a share. Its operating margin of 0.93% worse than 73% of the companies in Telecommunication Services industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks HC2 Holdings's profitability as poor. This is the revenue and net income of HC2 Holdings over the past years: