If You Had Bought Universal Cables (NSE:UNIVCABLES) Shares Five Years Ago You'd Have Made 471%

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We think all investors should try to buy and hold high quality multi-year winners. And we've seen some truly amazing gains over the years. For example, the Universal Cables Limited (NSE:UNIVCABLES) share price is up a whopping 471% in the last half decade, a handsome return for long term holders. This just goes to show the value creation that some businesses can achieve. In the last week the share price is up 4.1%.

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See our latest analysis for Universal Cables

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the five years of share price growth, Universal Cables moved from a loss to profitability. Sometimes, the start of profitability is a major inflection point that can signal fast earnings growth to come, which in turn justifies very strong share price gains. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. Indeed, the Universal Cables share price has gained 150% in three years. During the same period, EPS grew by 78% each year. This EPS growth is higher than the 36% average annual increase in the share price over the same three years. So you might conclude the market is a little more cautious about the stock, these days. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 5.23.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

NSEI:UNIVCABLES Past and Future Earnings, May 23rd 2019
NSEI:UNIVCABLES Past and Future Earnings, May 23rd 2019

It is of course excellent to see how Universal Cables has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Universal Cables, it has a TSR of 478% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!