If You Had Bought Family Insights Group (ASX:FAM) Stock Three Years Ago, You'd Be Sitting On A 94% Loss, Today

It's not possible to invest over long periods without making some bad investments. But really bad investments should be rare. So take a moment to sympathize with the long term shareholders of Family Insights Group Limited (ASX:FAM), who have seen the share price tank a massive 94% over a three year period. That would be a disturbing experience. It's up 45% in the last seven days.

We really hope anyone holding through that price crash has a diversified portfolio. Even when you lose money, you don't have to lose the lesson.

See our latest analysis for Family Insights Group

Family Insights Group recorded just AU$12,713 in revenue over the last twelve months, which isn't really enough for us to consider it to have a proven product. You have to wonder why venture capitalists aren't funding it. As a result, we think it's unlikely shareholders are paying much attention to current revenue, but rather speculating on growth in the years to come. Investors will be hoping that Family Insights Group can make progress and gain better traction for the business, before it runs low on cash.

We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. There is almost always a chance they will need to raise more capital, and their progress - and share price - will dictate how dilutive that is to current holders. While some such companies do very well over the long term, others become hyped up by promoters before eventually falling back down to earth, and going bankrupt (or being recapitalized). It certainly is a dangerous place to invest, as Family Insights Group investors might realise.

Family Insights Group had cash in excess of all liabilities of just AU$872k when it last reported (December 2018). So if it has not already moved to replenish reserves, we think the near-term chances of a capital raising event are pretty high. That probably explains why the share price is down 60% per year, over 3 years. You can see in the image below, how Family Insights Group's cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values). The image below shows how Family Insights Group's balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

ASX:FAM Historical Debt, August 28th 2019
ASX:FAM Historical Debt, August 28th 2019

It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn't even have revenue. There's no way to know its value easily. What if insiders are ditching the stock hand over fist? I'd like that just about as much as I like to drink milk and fruit juice mixed together. It only takes a moment for you to check whether we have identified any insider sales recently.