Gresham Technologies plc (LON:GHT), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the LSE, rising to highs of UK£1.71 and falling to the lows of UK£1.49. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Gresham Technologies' current trading price of UK£1.57 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Gresham Technologies’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
View our latest analysis for Gresham Technologies
What's the opportunity in Gresham Technologies?
According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 36%, trading at UK£1.57 compared to my intrinsic value of £1.15. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. In addition to this, it seems like Gresham Technologies’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
What kind of growth will Gresham Technologies generate?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With revenues expected to grow by a double-digit 25% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Gresham Technologies. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in GHT’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe GHT should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.