GRAPHIC-Testing times: Five questions for the ECB

By Dhara Ranasinghe and Ritvik Carvalho

LONDON, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Growing concern about the impact of trade tensions on the economic outlook, another spike in Italian borrowing costs, fraught Brexit talks and volatility in world markets make for a colorful backdrop to Thursday's European Central Bank meeting.

The ECB is expected to repeat that its 2.6 trillion euro ($3.0 trillion) bond-buying scheme is likely to end at the close of the year, with bond markets hoping for details on how reinvestments from maturing bonds will be channeled next year.

Here are some key questions that may come up.

1. How worried is the ECB about growing risks to the growth outlook?

Economists were unanimous in a recent Reuters poll that the ECB will end its bond-buying stimulus by year-end, with a low likelihood of an extension in the face of political and trade worries.

But growing concern about the economic outlook may be hard to ignore as trade wars take a toll. This month, the International Monetary Fund cut its world economic growth forecasts for 2018 and 2019, and Europe's biggest economy Germany lowered its growth projections.

Minutes of the ECB's September meeting showed that at least some policymakers debated whether to downgrade their growth risk assessment, which they described as "broadly balanced".

"Global downside risks, and the possibility of further increases in those risks from here which could formally tip the balance towards downside risks in the statement, are the main things to watch," said Pictet Wealth Management strategist Frederik Ducrozet.

2. When will the ECB start discussing rate hikes?

The ECB is likely to repeat the line it has laid out since June: that rates will remain on hold through the summer of 2019.

That's not to say a question on the rate-hike debate will not come up at ECB chief Mario Draghi's press conference.

Dutch central bank governor Klaas Knot said earlier this month the ECB will have to start discussing the timing of a rate hike in January.

Draghi also stirred the rate debate with his recent reference to a "relatively vigorous" rise in underlying inflation -- comments that have been toned down since.

At the same time, market turmoil in Italy has ignited some caution into investor rate-hike expectations.

3. Will the ECB spell out its plans for reinvestments?

This is the big question for euro zone bond markets, given that reinvestments of funds from maturing bonds held by the ECB will continue to buffer debt once new buying ends.

The ECB has said it will reinvest funds from maturing bonds but has yet to spell out details and there is some talk about whether the bank will target its funds at longer-dated bonds.