GRAPHIC-Five Charts: Where would a falling yuan hit hardest?

In This Article:

(Repeats Wednesday story with no changes to text)

* Yuan suffered worst month on record in June

* China c.bank steps in to stem fall but investors sceptical

* Asian currencies set to be hit hardest by yuan slide

* Commodity-linked pairs, EM will also feel the pain

By Tommy Wilkes and Karin Strohecker

LONDON, July 11 (Reuters) - China's yuan suffered its biggest ever monthly drop in June, battered by worries that a deepening trade conflict with the United States will squeeze its economy and investors will pull out their money.

The Chinese central bank has moved to calm markets, pledging to keep the yuan at a stable and reasonable level. Yet many traders expect any bounce in the currency to be short-lived.

A controlled decline in the yuan would help Beijing counter the impact of U.S. tariffs already slapped on $35 billion worth of goods, as well as the spectre of levies on hundreds of billions of dollars more.

But with China's share of global exports close to 20 percent, a much bigger fall will have far-reaching consequences beyond its neighbouring Asian shores, from Latin America to the heart of the euro zone's biggest economy: Germany.

Below are five charts explaining where to find the likely hot spots.

HIT TO EVERYONE, INCLUDING EUROPE

China's massive role in global trade means most countries will be impacted by a slowdown in its economy and curbs on trade under President Donald Trump's tariffs.

On a trade-weighted basis the yuan fell 4 percent in 12 days from mid-June, a huge move for the still tightly-controlled currency that returns it to levels touched in late 2017. Against the dollar, the yuan touched a one-year lows in offshore markets.

"The closer you are geographically to China the bigger the impact," said Kit Juckes, a strategist at Societe Generale. "But the impact is big for everybody."

Europe is at risk, particularly export-reliant giant Germany. Automaker shares have fallen because of the spectre of U.S. tariffs, and Germany's DAX is underperforming the pan-European index.

Europe is arguably more vulnerable than the United States. China has a more than 15 percent share of European Union trade, roughly the same as of U.S. trade.

After weakening earlier in the year, the euro has rallied 4.5 percent against the yuan since the start of June - broadly matching its gains against the dollar's, and more bad news for companies that sell to China.

Several European economies are among the most exposed to global value chains.

For an interactive version click: https://tmsnrt.rs/2tSOb4w

Analysts say consequences for currencies will depend in part on the causality of yuan depreciation.