Is Grainger plc's (LON:GRI) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Financials In Any Way?

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Grainger's (LON:GRI) stock is up by 5.7% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Grainger's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Grainger

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Grainger is:

1.3% = UK£26m ÷ UK£1.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each £1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made £0.01 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Grainger's Earnings Growth And 1.3% ROE

It is quite clear that Grainger's ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 6.3%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Grainger was still able to see a decent net income growth of 8.8% over the past five years. Therefore, the growth in earnings could probably have been caused by other variables. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Grainger's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 12% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
LSE:GRI Past Earnings Growth February 9th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Grainger's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.