Gooch & Housego's (LON:GHH) investors will be pleased with their 14% return over the last five years
In This Article:
These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, the Gooch & Housego PLC (LON:GHH) share price is 11% higher than it was five years ago, which is more than the market average. Over the last year the stock price is up, albeit only a modest 2.9%.
So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
Check out our latest analysis for Gooch & Housego
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
Gooch & Housego's earnings per share are down 14% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
Since the EPS are down strongly, it seems highly unlikely market participants are looking at EPS to value the company. Given that EPS is down, but the share price is up, it seems clear the market is focussed on other aspects of the business, at the moment.
We doubt the modest 1.3% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 5.1% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Gooch & Housego is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
Take a more thorough look at Gooch & Housego's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Gooch & Housego's TSR for the last 5 years was 14%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
Gooch & Housego shareholders are up 3.3% for the year (even including dividends). But that was short of the market average. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 3% per year over five year. It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Gooch & Housego better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Gooch & Housego is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...