Gold Recovery May Be Ahead, US Dollar Vulnerable to Pullback

DailyFX.com -

Talking Points:

  • US Dollar Technical Positioning Hints a Pullback May Be Brewing

  • S&P 500 Losing Streak Continues as Prices Drop for a Third Session

  • Gold Chart Setup Hints at Rebound, Crude Oil Still Treading Water

Can’t access the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices may be carving out a top as negative RSI divergence warns of ebbing upside momentum. A daily close below rising trend line support at 10931 exposes the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement at 10869. Alternatively, a reversal above the 14.6% Fib expansion at 10957 clears the way for a test of the 23.6% threshold at 11008.

Gold Recovery May Be Ahead, US Dollar Vulnerable to Pullback
Gold Recovery May Be Ahead, US Dollar Vulnerable to Pullback

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSISPrices moved lower to challenge support at 1973.20, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 50% level at 1958.10. Alternatively, a reversal back above the 23.6% Fib at 1991.90 targets the 14.6% expansion at 2003.40.

Gold Recovery May Be Ahead, US Dollar Vulnerable to Pullback
Gold Recovery May Be Ahead, US Dollar Vulnerable to Pullback

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices put in a bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern, hinting a move higher may be ahead. A break above the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1227.91 on a daily closing basis exposes the 23.6% level at 1240.26. Near-term support is at 1207.88, the September 22 low.

Gold Recovery May Be Ahead, US Dollar Vulnerable to Pullback
Gold Recovery May Be Ahead, US Dollar Vulnerable to Pullback

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices continue to tread water above support at 96.73, the April 2013 low. Near-term resistance is at 99.47, the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 23.6% level at 101.18. Alternatively, a breach downward aims for the 23.6% Fib expansion at 95.11.

Gold Recovery May Be Ahead, US Dollar Vulnerable to Pullback
Gold Recovery May Be Ahead, US Dollar Vulnerable to Pullback

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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