Gold Attempts to Mount Recovery, US Dollar and SPX 500 Vulnerable

DailyFX.com -

Talking Points:

  • US Dollar, S&P 500 May Turn Lower from Multi-Year Highs

  • Crude Oil Remain Locked in Range Above $58/barrel Figure

  • Gold Prices Try to Mount Recovery, Eyeing $1200/oz Level

Can’t access the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices flat-lined after hitting a five-year high, with negative RSI divergence warning a downturn may be ahead. Near-term resistance is at 11577, the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 50% level at 11648. Alternatively, a turn below the 11489-522 area marked by the December 8 top and the 23.6% Fib clears the way for a test of the 14.6% expansion at 11434.

Gold Attempts to Mount Recovery, US Dollar and SPX 500 Vulnerable
Gold Attempts to Mount Recovery, US Dollar and SPX 500 Vulnerable

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices edged above the December 5 high at 2079.60, exposing the 50% Fibonacci expansion at 2098.60. A daily close above this barrier exposes the 61.8% level at 2129.40. Negative RSI divergence warns of ebbing upside momentum and hints a turn lower may be looming. A turn back below 2079.60 sees initially support at 2067.90, the 38.2% Fib.

Gold Attempts to Mount Recovery, US Dollar and SPX 500 Vulnerable
Gold Attempts to Mount Recovery, US Dollar and SPX 500 Vulnerable

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices recoiled upward to test resistance at 1196.08, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 38.2% level at 1211.85. Alternatively, a move below the 14.6% Fib at 1186.36 targets the December 22 low at 1170.59.

Gold Attempts to Mount Recovery, US Dollar and SPX 500 Vulnerable
Gold Attempts to Mount Recovery, US Dollar and SPX 500 Vulnerable

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices are in consolidation mode above the $58.00/barrel figure. A break below the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion at 58.20 exposes the 38.2% level at 54.83. Alternatively, a bounce above the 23.6% Fib retracement at 63.94 targets the 38.2% threshold at 67.31.

Gold Attempts to Mount Recovery, US Dollar and SPX 500 Vulnerable
Gold Attempts to Mount Recovery, US Dollar and SPX 500 Vulnerable

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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