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The investors in GlobalFoundries Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GFS) will be rubbing their hands together with glee today, after the share price leapt 24% to US$45.27 in the week following its third-quarter results. Revenues were US$1.7b, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at US$0.32, an impressive 31% ahead of estimates. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for GlobalFoundries
After the latest results, the 18 analysts covering GlobalFoundries are now predicting revenues of US$7.36b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a solid 8.7% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to swell 12% to US$1.50. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$7.63b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.64 in 2025. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a small dip in earnings per share estimates.
The consensus price target fell 7.1% to US$48.64, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading valuation estimates. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic GlobalFoundries analyst has a price target of US$65.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$40.00. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the GlobalFoundries' past performance and to peers in the same industry. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 6.9% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 7.9% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry (in aggregate), which analyst estimates suggest will see revenues grow 19% annually. So although GlobalFoundries is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's forecast to grow slower than the wider industry.