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GitLab Inc. (GTLB): A Bull Case Theory

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We came across a bullish thesis on GitLab Inc. (GTLB) on Substack by Compounding Your Wealth. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on GTLB. GitLab Inc. (GTLB)'s share was trading at $47 as of March 31st. GTLB’s forward P/E was 65.36 according to Yahoo Finance.

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A close-up view of an AI-platform software code running on a monitor.

GitLab reported strong financial results for Q4 FY2025, with revenue reaching $211.4 million, representing a 29% year-over-year growth that exceeded expectations. For the full year, revenue grew 31% to $759.2 million, driven primarily by strong enterprise expansion. Non-GAAP operating margin for the quarter increased by 960 basis points to 18%, while for the full year, it reached 10.2%, up 1,050 basis points from the previous year. Adjusted free cash flow surged 259% year-over-year to $120 million, showcasing the company's ability to generate cash efficiently. The company's net dollar-based retention rate (DBNR) was 123%, driven by strong seat expansion and increased customer yield. Remaining performance obligations (RPO) grew 40% year-over-year to $945 million, and current RPO increased 35% to $579.2 million, reflecting the company's strong booking momentum.

GitLab’s customer base continues to expand, with 9,893 customers generating at least $5,000 ARR, contributing to 95% of total ARR. High-value customers are also increasing, with those generating $100,000+ ARR growing 29% year-over-year to 1,229, and customers contributing $1 million+ ARR increasing by 28% to 123. Looking ahead, GitLab projects FY2026 revenue to be between $936 million and $942 million, a 24% year-over-year increase, with Q1 FY2026 revenue expected to be in the range of $212 million to $213 million. Non-GAAP operating income for the quarter is forecasted at $21 million to $22 million, with EPS ranging from $0.14 to $0.15.

GitLab's Duo product has been a standout performer, accounting for one-third of ARR in deals where it was included. This AI-powered tool is embedded throughout the software development lifecycle, offering automation beyond code generation. Despite increased competition from GitHub Copilot, Cursor, and Anthropic's Claude Code, GitLab differentiates itself by integrating AI into security, compliance, and governance, providing a comprehensive DevSecOps platform. GitLab Ultimate, which now makes up 50% of total ARR, reflects strong demand for integrated security and compliance tools, with an ROI of 480% over three years. The company has seen record levels of new enterprise deals, including displacements of competitors like Zscaler, highlighting its growing market share.