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Some Getech Group (LON:GTC) Shareholders Have Copped A Big 53% Share Price Drop

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It's nice to see the Getech Group Plc (LON:GTC) share price up 16% in a week. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. After all, the share price is down 53% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

View our latest analysis for Getech Group

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, Getech Group moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 1.0% a year in the five year period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

AIM:GTC Income Statement, September 26th 2019
AIM:GTC Income Statement, September 26th 2019

We know that Getech Group has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? You can see what analysts are predicting for Getech Group in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Getech Group's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Dividends have been really beneficial for Getech Group shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 48%, over the last 5 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

Getech Group shareholders are down 23% for the year, but the market itself is up 1.9%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 12% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. If you would like to research Getech Group in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.