In This Article:
Gentrack Group Limited (NZSE:GTK) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 13% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been spectacular. The longer term view reveals that the share price is up 494% in that period. So the recent fall doesn't do much to dampen our respect for the business. The thing to consider is whether there is still too much elation around the company's prospects.
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
Check out our latest analysis for Gentrack Group
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During three years of share price growth, Gentrack Group achieved compound earnings per share growth of 40% per year. In comparison, the 81% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. This suggests that, as the business progressed over the last few years, it gained the confidence of market participants. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth. This favorable sentiment is reflected in its (fairly optimistic) P/E ratio of 130.78.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
We know that Gentrack Group has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? Take a more thorough look at Gentrack Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that Gentrack Group has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 77% in the last twelve months. That's better than the annualised return of 39% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Gentrack Group you should know about.