Ganesha Ecosphere Limited (NSE:GANECOS) And The Consumer Sector Outlook 2018

In This Article:

Ganesha Ecosphere Limited (NSE:GANECOS), a ₹6.3b small-cap, is a consumer discretionary company operating in an industry, whose sales are driven primarily by consumer sentiment and access to capital. These macro factors tend to determine the rate at which consumers purchase luxury goods. Consumer discretionary analysts are forecasting for the entire industry, a positive double-digit growth of 24% in the upcoming year , and a massive growth of 72% over the next couple of years. the growth rate of the Indian stock market as a whole. Today, I will analyse the industry outlook, as well as evaluate whether Ganesha Ecosphere is lagging or leading in the industry.

See our latest analysis for Ganesha Ecosphere

What’s the catalyst for Ganesha Ecosphere’s sector growth?

NSEI:GANECOS Past Future Earnings October 10th 18
NSEI:GANECOS Past Future Earnings October 10th 18

Significant store closures were an sign of changing consumer taste and rising online competition. In the previous year, the industry saw growth in the teens, though still underperforming the wider Indian stock market. Ganesha Ecosphere is neither a lagger nor a leader, and has been growing in-line with its industry peers at around 12% in the prior year. Furthermore, analysts are expecting the company to continue to grow with its industry peers and deliver a 23% growth next year.

Is Ganesha Ecosphere and the sector relatively cheap?

NSEI:GANECOS PE PEG Gauge October 10th 18
NSEI:GANECOS PE PEG Gauge October 10th 18

Luxury goods companies are typically trading at a PE of 13.57x, relatively similar to the rest of the Indian stock market PE of 17.18x. This illustrates a fairly valued sector relative to the rest of the market, indicating low mispricing opportunities. Furthermore, the industry returned a similar 7.3% on equities compared to the market’s 9.3%. On the stock-level, Ganesha Ecosphere is trading at a PE ratio of 15.19x, which is relatively in-line with the average luxury goods. stock. In terms of returns, Ganesha Ecosphere generated 14% in the past year, which is 6.7% over the luxury goods. sector.

Next Steps:

If Ganesha Ecosphere has been on your watchlist for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The company is a luxury goods industry laggard in terms of its future growth outlook, and is trading relatively in-line with its peers. If growth and mispricing are important aspects for your investment thesis, there may be better investments in the consumer discretionary sector. However, before you make a decision on the stock, I suggest you look at Ganesha Ecosphere’s fundamentals in order to build a holistic investment thesis.

  1. Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.

  2. Historical Track Record: What has GANECOS’s performance been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.

  3. Other High-Growth Alternatives : Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of Ganesha Ecosphere? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.