Is G M Holdings Limited (HKG:6038) A Good Dividend Stock?

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Is G & M Holdings Limited (HKG:6038) a good dividend stock? How can we tell? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings can be highly rewarding in the long term. On the other hand, investors have been known to buy a stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

In this case, G & M Holdings pays a decent-sized 9.4% dividend yield, and has been distributing cash to shareholders for the past two years. A 9.4% yield does look good. Could the short payment history hint at future dividend growth? Some simple analysis can reduce the risk of holding G & M Holdings for its dividend, and we'll focus on the most important aspects below.

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SEHK:6038 Historical Dividend Yield, September 25th 2019
SEHK:6038 Historical Dividend Yield, September 25th 2019

Payout ratios

Companies (usually) pay dividends out of their earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, the dividend might have to be cut. As a result, we should always investigate whether a company can afford its dividend, measured as a percentage of a company's net income after tax. In the last year, G & M Holdings paid out 51% of its profit as dividends. This is a healthy payout ratio, and while it does limit the amount of earnings that can be reinvested in the business, there is also some room to lift the payout ratio over time.

We also measure dividends paid against a company's levered free cash flow, to see if enough cash was generated to cover the dividend. G & M Holdings paid out 296% of its free cash last year. Cash flows can be lumpy, but this dividend was not well covered by cash flow. Paying out more than 100% of your free cash flow in dividends is generally not a long-term, sustainable state of affairs, so we think shareholders should watch this metric closely. G & M Holdings paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough free cash flow to cover the dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were G & M Holdings to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

With a strong net cash balance, G & M Holdings investors may not have much to worry about in the near term from a dividend perspective.

Consider getting our latest analysis on G & M Holdings's financial position here.

Dividend Volatility

Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. This company's dividend has been unstable, and with a relatively short history, we think it's a little soon to draw strong conclusions about its long term dividend potential. During the past two-year period, the first annual payment was HK$0.024 in 2017, compared to HK$0.018 last year. Dividend payments have fallen sharply, down 25% over that time.