Europe mixed, US up as Kamala Harris clinches enough support for nomination

How major markets are performing on Tuesday

In this article:

The FTSE 100 and European stocks were mixed on Tuesday in London, after high profile Democrats threw their support behind presidential hopeful Kamala Harris. She now has enough support to qualify her for nomination.

  • The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) reversed some of Monday's gains, falling 0.4% by the end of the day. The CAC (^FCHI) in Paris was also down 0.4%.

  • In Germany, the DAX (^GDAXI) bucked the trend, rising 0.6%. The pan-European STOXX 600 (^STOXX) also rose 0.1%.

  • Across the pond, US indices were higher amid a slew of quarterly earnings reports, following a strong day of gains. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) was up 0.3% and the Dow (^DJI) and Nasdaq (^IXIC) rose 0.1% and 0.4% respectively.

  • On Monday, the Nasdaq added around 1.6%, underpinned by a gain of almost 5% in tech market bellwether Nvidia (NVDA), as well as rises in the likes of Meta Platforms (META).

  • "The gains were a reminder of the high expectations which will accompany the earnings releases and that there is scope for disappointment and therefore volatility should the numbers fall short of expectations," said Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor.

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  • Demand worries spark oil selloff

    Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at online trading platform IG:

    Recent history has shown that oil prices tend to decline over the summer and early Autumn, and worries about demand growth have sparked off fresh losses this afternoon. This spells fresh trouble for the FTSE 100, which has been desperately seeking a catalyst for a new rally. With oil and metals prices suffering it seems the index’s rangebound period has some way to go.

  • Investors flock to tech funds

    Yahoo Finance UK's Pedro Goncalves reports:

    Investors are going global and targeting tech with most of the popular funds at investment platform Interactive Investor focusing on technology shares.

    The UK’s second largest investment platform for retail investors has launched an investment barometer, which ranks the most-popular funds, investment trusts, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) each quarter.

    Many investors are increasingly seeking focused exposure to the US technology sector. This trend is highlighted by the fact that seven of the top 50 investment funds are specifically targeting the tech industry.

    While the risk of late entry into a trending sector remains, investors are betting on the longevity of artificial intelligence (AI) as a pivotal growth driver in the years ahead.

    READ MORE HERE

  • GM shares slump despite strong earnings report

    Our US team reports:

    GM (GM) once again posted strong second quarter results, and boosted its guidance for a second time this year as customers continue buying the Detroit-based automaker's gas-powered vehicles, trucks — and even EVs.

    For the quarter, GM reported record revenue of $47.97bn versus $45.51bn estimated (Bloomberg consensus), which represents a 7.2% jump compared to a year ago ($44.75bn). GM reported adjusted EPS of $3.06, compared to estimates of $2.70, with GM also reporting adjusted EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) of $4.438bn, easily topping estimates of $3.88bn.

    Even so, stock dropped more than 6.6% in early trade following the report:

    Read more here

  • What stocks are doing at market open

  • Beat for Lockheed Martin

    Also a beat for Lockheed in its pre-market earnings. Shares look set to open about 2.4% higher.

  • Spotify shares surge on bumper earnings

    Here are the numbers:

    It's now trading 14.3% higher in premarket.

  • Downward dollar?

    Alex Kuptsikevich, FxPro senior market analyst, lays out what to watch for when it comes to the greenback:

    Last week, the dollar index regained some of its losses from the previous four weeks, but technically, it looks like short-term profit-taking by sellers before a new downward momentum.

    The US dollar has been under pressure since late June as the Fed noted progress in reducing inflation. Money markets readily accepted this signal, giving a 94% probability of a rate cut in September versus 66% a month earlier and just 46% about two months ago. These changes are causing short-term bond yields to fall, reducing interest in the dollar.

    Changes in expectations have taken about 2% away from the dollar over the past month. But on this downward path, the DXY has taken several technical levels, showing increasing signs of moving into a downward trend.

  • Tesla to use humanoid robots from next year

    Tesla shares were muted in pre-market trading after climbing 5% during Monday’s session as the EV maker is set to report its second-quarter results after the US market close on Tuesday.

    Tesla's profit margins are expected to have fallen 0.9% YoY to $24.7bn (£19.12bn) as the company struggled with the delivery figures.

    Earnings per share (EPS) are estimated to have dropped 41% YoY to $0.46. Over the last couple of years, Tesla has cut vehicle prices multiple times, which has taken a toll on its once industry-leading margins.

    Meanwhile, CEO Elon Musk said the company will have humanoid robots in production for internal use in 2025.

    "Tesla will have genuinely useful humanoid robots in low production for Tesla internal use next year and, hopefully, high production for other companies in 2026," Musk said in an X post.

  • And here are the FTSE 100's biggest losers

    Data: HL
    Data: HL
  • Top risers in the FTSE 100

    Here's what's propping up the top end of the FTSE 100 on Tuesday:

    Data: HL
    Data: HL
  • Stocks to watch at the US open: Spotify

    Spotify is scheduled to report its fiscal second-quarter earnings on Tuesday before the US market opens. Wall Street anticipates that the music streaming company will once again achieve a profit on an adjusted basis, reflecting the impact of its recent "efficiency" strategy.

    "Spotify is at an inflection point with recent price changes highlighting its commitment to expanding gross margin and profit," noted Geetha Ranganathan, senior media analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence.

    The company is expected to report revenue of €3.81bn, up from €3.18bn in Q2 2023. Adjusted earnings per share are projected to be €1.04, an improvement from the adjusted loss of €1.55 reported in the same period last year. Total monthly active users are forecasted to reach 631 million, compared to 551 million in Q2 2023, while premium subscribers are expected to increase to 245 million from 220 million.

    The stock has surged, with shares gaining more than 50% since the start of the year and up about 70% on a yearly basis, Yahoo Finance writes.

    "We continue to see a long runway for growth in music streaming," Morgan Stanley analyst Ben Swinburne said in a note published earlier this month.

    "This view is supported by paid subscription streaming penetration of global smartphones of just ~15% at year-end 2023 and service offerings that remain in our view underpriced when compared to historical consumer spending on music."

  • Rents continue to ramp up in London

    The latest from Rightmove:

    The average rental price in London is now £2,661 per month – 4% higher than this time a year ago, according to quarterly data from housing platform Rightmove.

    Meanwhile, rents are rising at a faster clip in the rest of the UK, with the average price of a property outside of London up 7% compared with last year to £1,314 per month.

    In the first quarter, the same measure showed rental prices in the capital reaching a record of £2,633 per calendar month, with the average price outside of London hitting £1,291.

    The figures represent a new, depressing, quarterly record. While the overall balance between supply and while demand has continued to improve during the second quarter of this year, the latest snapshot of the rental market highlights how busy it remains compared to more normal levels seen pre-pandemic. Both letting agents and tenants are unlikely to feel any improvements yet.

    The number of enquiries each rental property is receiving from would-be tenants is now 17 which, while down from 26 this time last year, is more than double the eight at this time in 2019.

    READ MORE HERE

  • What to watch out for: Alphabet earnings

    Google owner Alphabet is expected to report a fourth straight quarter of double-digit revenue growth on an uptick in the advertising market. It will announce its results to the markets after the US closing bell on Tuesday.

    The company’s stock is near all-time highs and continues to benefit from strong Search and YouTube revenue growth. Google's progress in GenAI, coupled with better-than-expected ad revenue, has boosted investor sentiment.

    “We view current valuation as undemanding given the strength of the underlying digital ad market and the considerable optionality for Google across advertising and cloud, as AI monetization continues,” wrote Wedbush analyst Scott Devit.

    At its recent price of $182, Alphabet goes for 21-times the consensus forecast for 2025 earnings.

    Google on Monday scrapped plans to remove user-tracking cookies from its Chrome browser, under pressure from advertisers who use cookies' data to target advertisements.

    Google’s talks to acquire the cybersecurity startup Wiz for a planned $23bn have fallen apart, according to the Wall Street Journal.

    READ MORE HERE

  • Odds on Harris?

    FILE PHOTO: U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris, delivers remarks to the women and men's National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) Champion teams in her first public appearance since President Joe Biden dropped out of the 2024 race, on the South Lawn of the White House, Washington, U.S., July 22, 2024. REUTERS/Nathan Howard/File Photo
    FILE PHOTO: U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris, delivers remarks to the women and men's National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) Champion teams in her first public appearance since President Joe Biden dropped out of the 2024 race, on the South Lawn of the White House, Washington, U.S., July 22, 2024. REUTERS/Nathan Howard/File Photo (Reuters / Reuters)

    Here's Deutsche Bank analysts' take on what the odds are saying for a Harris presidency:

    As we look forward to November, the main question is really what the polls look like from here. Clearly there’ve been several hypothetical polls up to now with Vice President Harris as the Democratic nominee, and they’ve shown her trailing Trump by around 2pts in the RealClearPolitics average. But those hypothetical polls can often turn out differently when presented with the reality, while the read across to the state level polling adds another challenge. So it’ll be fascinating to see if the state of the race meaningfully changes once we do get some fresh polls over the coming week, and whether Harris can narrow or even overturn Trump’s margins in the swing states that will determine the Electoral College. For now at least, the average of betting odds on RealClearPolitics gives Trump a 59% chance, slightly down from its peak of 66% on July 15, shortly after the assassination attempt.

  • Stocks lower in Asia

    Stock indexes fell during Asian trading hours with political uncertainty in the US offsetting any upside from rate cuts in China.

    The Nikkei (^N225) was broadly flat in Japan, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng (^HSI) was down 0.8% and the SSE Composite (000001.SS) fell 1.7%.

    The People's Bank of China cut both short and long-term rates on Monday, as officials look to boot up its growth engine following a set of data that showed lagging growth metrics.

  • Premarket trade in the US

    Here's how stocks are faring in premarket, after strong gains on Monday:

  • Overnight in the US

    US tech stocks ripped higher on Monday as investors assessed the political landscape following president Joe Biden's exit from the presidential race and braced for the start of megacap tech earnings.

    The S&P 500 (^GSPC) gained more than 1% while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose roughly 1.6%, both coming off their worst weekly losses since April. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) increased 0.3%.

    Chip heavyweight Nvidia (NVDA) led the broad-based tech rebound following heavy losses last week as investors rotated out of big cap names.

  • Good morning!

    Hello from London. Today we're still following what's going on in the US, with Kamala Harris winning enough delegate backing to qualify her for nomination for the presidency race.

    The wind has come out of the sales of European markets a bit, with the FTSE 100 gliding lower in premarket.

    Meanwhile, big hitters are set to report across the world, with news ahead from Tesla, Google and LVMH.

    Let's get to it.

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