Wall Street and FTSE rise as US economy grows more than expected in second quarter

A dive into what's moving markets and happening across the global economy

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Wall Street stocks advanced on Thursday, following in the steps of the FTSE 100 (^FTSE) and European indices as the US economy performed better than expected in the second quarter.

Gross domestic product (GDP) came in at 3% rather than the 2.8% seen in the first reading, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The boost was due to a sharp upward adjustment to real consumer spending growth, from 2.2% to 2.9%, partially offset by smaller downward revisions to business investment, housing, and government spending.

Nvidia (NVDA) shares slipped into the red after the bell despite exceeding expectations on Wednesday, as the scale of its results beat was the smallest relative to forecasts in six quarters.

It reported record sales of $30bn (£22.7bn) in the quarter to 31 July and forecast a third quarter figure of $32.5bn. Analysts had forecast sales growth of $28.7bn for the three months.

The company has been one of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI boom, with its stock market value soaring to more than $3tn.

  • London’s benchmark index was 0.5% higher despite the technology-led sell-off in the US overnight.

  • Germany's DAX (^GDAXI) rose 0.7% and the CAC (^FCHI) in Paris headed 0.8% into the green.

  • The pan-European STOXX 600 (^STOXX) was up 0.8%.

  • Wall Street opened higher with figures showing the economy is now growing more than twice as fast as the 1.4% recorded in the first quarter of the year.

  • The pound was 0.2% down against the US dollar (GBPUSD=X) at 1.3263.

  • The top FTSE 100 winners and losers of 2024 so far.

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    Until then... have a good evening!

  • Quiz tumbles to loss amid cost-of-living pressures

    Fashion chain Quiz (QUIZ.L) has revealed it swung to a loss for the past year after sales slumped in the face of cost-of-living pressures on customers.

    Sheraz Ramzan, chief executive of the business, said its performance had been “disappointing” but stressed it was committed to its turnaround strategy.

    Quiz reported a pre-tax loss of £6.7m for the year to 31 March in the delayed update, as it slid from a £2.3m profit a year earlier. It came as revenues dropped by 10.6% to £82m for the year.

    The sales downturn was largely due to “the impact of cost of-living pressures on consumer demand”, the retailer said.

    The group saw particularly weak sales online, which slid by 18% to £24.5m for the year.

    Meanwhile, sales from stores and concessions were 8% lower at £41.7m.

    It reported that its number of active customers declined by 19% to 521,000 for the year.

  • 2023 marks record year for UK company start-ups

    As the UK's business landscape continues to flourish, with a record-breaking 5.31 million active companies currently operating and 900 thousand new businesses established in 2023 alone, the demand for comprehensive business support services has never been higher.

    Jestiyon, a leading provider of corporate services, is at the forefront of meeting this demand by offering a suite of solutions tailored to the needs of international entrepreneurs navigating the complexities of the UK market.

    Ardıç Dağ, co-founder of Jestiyon, said:

    “Our mission at Jestiyon is to simplify the journey for international entrepreneurs entering the UK market. By providing an integrated platform that addresses everything from company establishment to compliance and e-commerce consultancy, we empower businesses to focus on innovation and growth. While we take care of the paperwork, entrepreneurs can dedicate their time and energy to growing their businesses and contributing positively to their communities".

    “The UK government’s ongoing initiatives to support small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and start-ups will further bolster this sector, ensuring that the UK remains a top destination for global business start-ups.

    The future of corporate support services in the UK looks bright. As global markets become increasingly interconnected, the demand for integrated digital solutions, like those offered by Jestiyon, is expected to rise,” he added.

  • US economy performs better than expected

    Roman Stetsyk

    The US economy did better than expected in the second quarter, with gross domestic product (GDP) growing at 3% rather than the 2.8% seen in the first reading.

    The boost was due to a sharp upward adjustment to real consumer spending growth, from 2.2% to 2.9%, partially offset by smaller downward revisions to business investment, housing, and government spending.

    Richard Flax, chief investment officer at wealth manager Moneyfarm, said:

    "The faster-than-expected growth in the second quarter should give a bit more comfort that the US economy remains in decent shape. This revision could also provide a slight boost to the Harris presidential ticket, given that the economy has been a key area of focus for both campaigns.

    "Today’s economic data may also draw some attention away from the intense focus on Nvidia’s results."

  • US dollar index lowers

    The US dollar index, which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of major currencies, edged lower in early Thursday trading as the rebound from the previous session lost momentum.

    Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at ActivTrades, said:

    "Traders are now focused on the upcoming release of PCE data on Friday, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, which will help to shape the central bank's rate-cutting plans."

    "Following Jerome Powell's keynote at Jackson Hole, where the Fed chairman set the stage for a potential rate cut announcement at the September meeting, dollar traders are keen to know the size of the cut and how many more might follow before the year's end."

    "In this context, tomorrow's inflation report could significantly impact the markets."

    "If a further deceleration in price increases is confirmed, the market may fully price in 75 basis points of cuts by year-end, a scenario likely to weaken the dollar further, potentially driving it to new yearly lows against its peers."

  • UK to enter trans-pacific partnership trade bloc

    The UK will officially enter a new trading bloc on 15 December, after ratification by Peru completed the requirements to join.

    The Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) will eventually give British exporters tariff-free access to 11 countries, although it will only apply at first to the six who have ratified it: Japan, Singapore, Chile, New Zealand, Vietnam and now Peru.

    The Department for Business and Trade estimates the deal will add £2bn to Britain’s annual GDP by 2040.

    Douglas Alexander, the minster for Trade Policy, said: “This is good news for UK businesses, who are now one step closer to being able to take advantage of the opportunities our membership of CPTPP will bring.”

  • Best UK mortgage deals of the week

    More deals under 4% are coming on the market, following the Bank of England's decision to cut interest rates, with another mortgage war looming that is set to benefit those trying to get on the property ladder.

    The average rate on a two-year fixed deal this week stood at 5.74%, lower than last week's 5.89%, while rates for a five-year deal came in at 5.27%, also lower than the previous 5.31%, according to figures from Uswitch.

    The Bank of England cut interest rates to 5% at its August Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting — the first reduction of the UK’s base rate in four years. In a finely balanced decision, five committee members voted in favour of cutting rates, versus four who preferred to keep them unchanged.

    Mortgage rates could fall to 3.5% by the end of the year as markets are betting on two more interest rate cuts by the end of the year.

    Read the full article here

  • IEA: Outdoor smoking ban 'another nail in the coffin' for pubs

    Commenting on reports that the government intends to ban smoking from pub gardens and other outdoor spaces, Reem Ibrahim, acting director of communications at the Institute of Economic Affairs, said:

    "Banning outdoor smoking would be another nail in the coffin for the pub industry.

    "The government's own impact assessment concluded that banning smoking outdoors will lead to pub closures and job losses. Pubs and other private venues should be able to determine their own outdoor smoking rules – just as they should be allowed to decide whether to play music, serve food, or show football on TV.

    "Smoking rates are already declining in the UK, in large part due to smokers switching to safer alternatives to combustible cigarettes. The government should look to countries like Sweden, which has attained the lowest prevalence of smoking in the world not by implementing nanny state measures like this proposal, but by allowing adults to choose safer and healthier products."

  • Midday market movers

    Here's a quick update on the top market movers so far today...

    • Premier Inn owner Whitbread (WTB.L) was the top gainer on the FTSE 100 after an upgrade to 'outperform' by Bernstein.

    • Close Brothers (CBG.L) surged after an upgrade to 'outperform' at RBC Capital Markets, while British Gas owner Centrica (CNA.L) was boosted by an upgrade to 'buy' at Jefferies.

    • GSK (GSK.L) rose as it said the European Commission has approved Arexvy, the first respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine, for adults aged 50 to 59 at increased risk due to underlying medical conditions.

    • Drax (DRX.L) was in the black as Ofgem closed its probe into the company's biomass profiling data after investigating whether or not the power station group failed to meet sustainability criteria of so-called Renewable Obligation Certificates (ROCs).

    • IG Group (IGG.L) lost ground after Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan sold 6.5 million shares in the company in a placing to a limited number of institutional investors. The placing represents around 1.8% of the existing share capital in the company. Sosnoff and Sheridan were co-founders of US online brokerage and trading education platform Tastytrade, which was acquired by IG in 2021 for $1bn.

  • Salesforce beats quarterly estimates on cloud demand

    Software company Salesforce (CRM) posted second quarter results after the US market close on Wednesday that beat Wall Street estimates on sales, operating margins and earnings.

    Salesforce posted net sales of $9.33bn for the second quarter, above an estimate of $9.23bn.

    Shares popped in after-hours trading, up 5%.

    Sales increased 11% in Europe, 16% in Asia-Pacific, and 8% in its Americas segment in the second quarter. This marked a turnaround from the previous quarter when the company posted its first sales estimate miss since 2006.

    "What I think a lot of people are excited about right now is the beat on adjusted operating margin,” Third Bridge analyst Charlie Miner said on Yahoo Finance.

    The company also reported an adjusted operating margin of 33.7%, coming in above estimates of 31.94%.

    “Profitability has become fully the focus for Salesforce over the last six quarters, you can't miss there right now, especially when [sales] growth is decelerating into the single digits as it is only the second time in their company history," Miner said.

  • Sainsbury's to create 1,000 new jobs

    miscellany

    Sainsbury's (SBRY.L) plans to create 1,000 jobs in Britain after reaching a deal to buy 10 Homebase stores to convert them into supermarkets.

    The total investment, including buying the leases and spending on fitting them out, will be £130m, the company confirmed.

    The first of the Homebase stores will reopen as supermarkets next summer, with all of them to be completed by the end of next year.

    Simon Roberts, Sainsbury’s chief executive, said:

    "Sainsbury’s food business continues to go from strength to strength as we push ahead with our Next Level Sainsbury’s plan. We have the best combination of value and quality in the market and that’s winning us customers from all our key competitors and driving consistent growth in volume market share.

    "We want to build on this momentum which is why we are growing our supermarket footprint. Our ambition is to be customers’ first choice for food and these new stores will showcase some of the best that Sainsbury’s supermarkets have to offer to even more communities around the country."

  • Buffett’s Berkshire tops $1tn in market value

    Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B) became the first US company outside of the tech sector to surpass $1trn in market value.

    Shares in Warren Buffet’s company were trending in pre-market trading as it hit $1tn (£756bn) in market value — the first US company outside of the tech sector to reach the milestone.

    The $1tn threshold was crossed just two days before the “Oracle of Omaha” Buffet turns 94 years old.

    Berkshire Hathaway comprises a $285bn stock portfolio that Buffett has built up over six decades, making him one of the richest people in the world.

    In recent months, Berkshire Hathaway has been in selling mode. It cut its stake in Apple (AAPL) by 50% last quarter. On Tuesday, the company disclosed it had sold nearly 25 million Bank of America (BAC) shares worth close to $1bn.

    Berkshire’s insurance, energy, manufacturing, retail and service businesses generated $22.8bn of profit in the first half of the year, up 26% from a year earlier.

    Its rally this year has outpaced the S&P 500’s (^GSPC) gains, with the company off to one of its best annual starts in a decade. It’s gained 30% in 2024, while the market benchmark is up 17%.

    The company isn’t that far behind the so-called Magnificent Seven — a gauge of the biggest tech stocks is up 34% this year.

    Topping the list of the most valuable companies are Apple, Nvidia and Microsoft (MSFT), which all are worth more than $3tn. Other companies trading above $1tn include Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN) and Meta (META).

  • UK VC funding hits $9bn during January-July

    UK-based startups raised $9bn funding through 704 venture capital (VC) deals announced during January-July 2024, which is a 7.9% year-on-year increase in funding value despite a 14.3% decline in deal volume.

    This reflects an improving appetite for big-ticket investments in promising startups, positioning the UK as a resilient market in the global venture capital landscape, according to GlobalData a leading data and analytics company.

    The analysis revealed that a total of 821 VC deals of worth $8.4bn were announced in the UK during January-July 2023.

    Aurojyoti Bose, lead analyst at GlobalData, said:

    “The UK, apart from being the top European market, also stands among the top five in terms of both VC funding deal volume and value. The increase in funding value, despite a notable decline in deal volume, reflects the growing appetite of VC firms for placing big bets in promising startups, coupled with a cautious approach.

    "Notably, the UK was also among the very few countries to see the announcement of billion-dollar VC deals* during the review period.”

    The UK accounted for 7.3% share of the total number of VC deals announced globally during January-July while its share of the corresponding disclosed funding value stood at 6.2%.

    Some of the notable VC funding deals announced in the UK included $1.05bn worth funding raised by Wayve Technologies, $1bn raised by credit technology company Abound, $200m raised by DNEG Group and $431m and $190m raised by digital bank Monzo in two different funding rounds.

  • The top FTSE 100 winners and losers of 2024 so far

    UK stocks have been unloved for some time, compared with the tech-heavy US markets. But could things be turning around for these out-of-favour investments?

    The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) is up 8% year-to-date, bolstered partly by a more stable political backdrop, as the Labour party won July's general election with a landslide victory.

    And yet it still lags behind the US S&P 500 (^GSPC), which has risen 17% year-to-date. Over five years that difference in performance becomes even starker, with the tech-focused Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) up 126%, while S&P 500 has gained 95% in that time and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) has risen 59%.

    This far outstrips a near 18% gain on the FTSE 100 over the last five years, with the Brexit vote having already dampened sentiment towards UK stocks, in addition to the economic and market fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic.

    The US indices also hold some of the world's most valuable companies, with Microsoft (MSFT) at a market capitalisation of $3.07tn (£2.32tn), which is larger than the market value of the entire FTSE 100 at £2.06tn, according to the London Stock Exchange website.

    Read the full article here

  • Fewer homes built than in COVID lockdown

    Owen Humphreys, PA Images

    UK builders completed only 38,400 new homes in the first three months of this year, according to the Office for National Statistics. This was the fewest finished since the worst of the COVID-19 lockdowns in the second quarter of 2020.

    The figures were down from just over 45,000 in the same period of 2023, and from a post-lockdown high of more than 60,000 completions in the final three months of 2022.

    New starts are also weak, with builders breaking ground on fewer than 30,000 new homes — an improvement on the previous quarter’s new starts.

    It comes as the Labour government plans to build 1.5 million homes over the next five years, requiring an average pace of 300,000 per year, or 75,000 per quarter.

  • Euro dragged to a one-month low on falling yields

    Regional inflation data has dragged down the euro to a one-month low today.

    Kyle Chapman, FX markets analyst at Ballinger Group, said:

    “EUR/USD has slumped more 0.5% this morning and fallen below the 1.11 handle, as CPI reports from Spain and the German regions have come in significantly softer in August and consolidated bets on the equivalent of three rate cuts from the ECB this year.

    “Spanish HICP fell from 2.9% to 2.4%, versus a consensus for 2.5%. The key German states all saw month-on-month deflation in August. North Rhine-Westphalia – the largest state economy – saw CPI fall from 2.3% to 1.7% on a yearly basis and contracted 0.1% month-on-month, and Saxony slipped from 3.1% to 2.6% with a –0.2% m/m figure.

    “August's significant cooling in inflationary pressures suggest that the policy divergence being priced in between the Fed and the ECB may not sustainably stick, and that means downside risks for the euro in the short term, particularly if the ECB feels the pressure to keep up with the Fed. We are reaching a ceiling on dollar weakness based purely on US rate fundamentals, now that the Fed is expected to cut by 100bps this year and in consecutive 25bp increments to neutral next year.

    “Without a recession-style scenario, it is hard to envisage markets pricing in a significantly quicker pace, and even in that situation the dollar would likely catch a safe-haven bid. The next leg lower is likely going to need to come from more hawkish expectations or an economic rebound in Europe.”

  • UK car production falls

    imageBROKER/Jochen Tack, imageBROKER.com GmbH & Co. KG

    UK car manufacturing fell last month as firms switched production to new models, the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) said on Thursday.

    Production dropped 14.4% in July “as model changeovers and temporary supply chain constraints restrict output”.

    The industry produced 482,000 cars in the first seven months of the year, down 9% from 2023.

    The SMMT said it was hoping that annual production will rise above 1 million cars next year as new models start production.

    Mike Hawes, chief executive of the SMMT, said

    "Following significant growth last year, some readjustment in output was to be expected. Indeed, an ongoing degree of volatility is likely as the industry restructures to transition to zero emission vehicle production.

    "As the billions already committed to new models start to deliver a return, volume growth will resume, providing we seize every opportunity to enhance our global competitiveness."

  • Nvidia commentary: Markets expect estimates 'to be shattered'

    Commenting on the Nvidia results, Hargreaves Lansdown analyst Matt Britzman said:

    “It’s less about just beating estimates now, markets expect them to be shattered and it’s the scale of the beat that looks to have disappointed a touch.”

    "Nvidia is the flagbearer for the AI revolution, but investors tend to overstate the importance of one set of quarterly results in the grand scheme of AI.

    “Leaders like Musk, Zuckerberg and Nadella are thinking on a multi-year, even multi-decade, time frame and investors would be wise to adopt a similar mentality.

    “The question of return on investment that many AI bears fall back on simply isn’t the main consideration for Nvidia’s biggest customers at this stage.

    “Like many before, this cycle won’t be a straight line, but while the ‘build it and they will come’ approach continues, it plays right into Nvidia’s hands.”

  • Nvidia shares slip despite record sales

    Nvidia (NVDA) shares tumbled despite exceeding expectations. The stock slipped on Wednesday night as the scale of its results beat was the smallest relative to forecasts in six quarters.

    It reported record sales of $30bn (£22.7bn) in the quarter to 31 July and forecast a third quarter figure of $32.5bn.

    Analysts were expecting EPS of $0.64 and revenue of $28.8 billion. That marks a 122% increase on the top line from a year ago; earnings rose 168% from the same quarter last year.

    The company expects shipments of its current Hopper chips to "increase" in the second half of the year. Jensen Huang, the chipmaker's chief executive, described anticipation for the company’s next generation Blackwell AI chip as “incredible”.

    The company has been one of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI boom, with its stock market value soaring to more than $3tn.

  • Asia and US stocks

    Stocks in Asia mostly tracked US peers lower overnight after earnings from Nvidia dampened the outlook for the tech sector.

    The Nikkei (^N225) was flat on the day in Japan, while the Hang Seng (^HSI) rose 0.5% in Hong Kong. The Shanghai Composite (000001.SS) was 0.5% down by the end of the session.

    Across the pond on Wall Street, stocks closed lower last night as a pullback in big technology companies outweighed gains elsewhere in the market.

    The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell 0.6% to 5,592.18, weighed down by drops in Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft and Amazon. About 56% of the stocks in the benchmark index finished in the red.

    The Dow Jones (^DJI), which was coming off two consecutive all-time highs, fell 0.4% to 41,091.42 and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) which is heavily weighted with technology stocks, closed 1.1% lower at 17,556.03.

    Meanwhile, in the bond market, the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes rose to 3.84% from 3.83pc late on Tuesday.

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