FTSE 100: Wall Street bounces back as London closes higher amid September rate cut bets

A deep dive into what's moving markets and happening across the global economy

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The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) and European stocks finished higher on Friday after a recent rout that has seen a shift away from artificial intelligence (AI) and tech stocks.

Stocks on Wall Street were poised to lurch higher after the US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index came in largely as expected.

After coming through the data release unscathed, traders have cemented bets that the US Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates in September, pushing markets higher.

  • London’s benchmark index climbed 1.2 to finish at 8,278 points

  • Germany's DAX (^GDAXI) climbed 0.6% and the CAC (^FCHI) in Paris gained 1.2% at the closing bell

  • The pan-European STOXX 600 (^STOXX) closed 0.8% higher

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) added 1.5%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose about 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) climbed 0.7%, both coming off a failed attempt to rebound from this week's tech-led sell-off.

  • The pound was flat against the US dollar (GBPUSD=X) at 1.2855

"Stocks edged slightly higher for the last trading session of the week in Europe, paring some of yesterday's losses ahead of critical macro data in the US," said Pierre Veyret, technical analyst at ActivTrades.

Read more: Stocks to watch next week: Meta, Apple, Amazon and also UK interest rates

"In a break from the negative market sentiment of recent days, the corrective moves are primarily due to short-sellers buying back some of their position following the global rout seen this week on equity markets."

"With a lack of significant changes in market drivers, we see today's slight rebound as a technical price action rather than something bigger and more directional."

How it happened:

LIVE COVERAGE IS OVER18 updates
  • Blog close and week ahead

    Well that's all from us today, thanks for following along. Be sure to join us again next week where we will be bringing you all the latest market moves and news of what's happening across the global economy.

    Here's a brief taster of what's to come:

    • Meta (META) – Reports second-quarter results on Wednesday 31 July

    • Apple (AAPL) — Reports third-quarter results on Thursday 1 August

    • Amazon (AMZN) — Reports second-quarter results on Thursday 1 August

    • Bank of England’s interest rate decision – Thursday 1 August

    Read more here: Stocks to watch next week

  • New pricing data 'enough to keep the Fed' on September rate cut path, says Janus Henderson

    Greg Wilensky, head of US fixed income and portfolio manager at Janus Henderson believes the latest US PCE data solidifies expectations for coming interest-rate cuts.

    While the inflation data over the last two days was just slightly worse than expected – and what the Fed and the market would ideally want – it is still enough to keep the Fed on a path to a first policy rate cut in September, and a soft landing as being the most likely economic outcome.

    We believe this week's data overall, especially the 0.18% month-over-month core PCE print and signs of cooling shelter inflation, continues to strengthen our view that the first cut will come in September. We are expecting a "dovish hold" at next week's Fed meeting, with Powell signaling during the press conference that a first cut is likely to occur "fairly soon" if the data continues to evolve as they expect.

    There is still a lot of data to be seen between now and the September meeting, including two CPI prints, so a September cut is far from certain. This could drive market volatility, but the bar for the Fed not to cut in September continues to get higher.

  • US stocks set for rebound after key Fed-watched inflation data

    Here's what my colleagues from Yahoo Finance from across the pond are saying about Wall Street:

    US stocks rose at the opening bell Friday, poised for a comeback bid as investors embraced new pricing data that showed inflation continuing to ease, solidifying expectations for coming interest-rate cuts.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) added 0.7%, or more than 200 points, after the blue-chip index eked out a closing gain. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose about 0.7%, while the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) climbed 0.9%, both coming off a failed attempt to rebound from this week's tech-led sell-off.

    Stocks are looking positive after a volatile series of sessions that have put the major gauges on track for hefty weekly losses. The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 have taken a bruising as Big Tech earnings undermined confidence in the AI trade, spurring the ongoing exodus from megacaps into small cap stocks.

    That pause in this year's rally has Wall Street questioning whether the sell-off is a turning point to sustained lower prices or a typical bull-market pullback. In play are earnings-fueled concerns about softness in the US economy, though Thursday's surprisingly hot GDP print eased those somewhat.

  • Bank of England’s interest rate decision on a knife-edge, economists say

    The Bank of England’s next decision on interest rates sits on a “knife-edge”, experts have said, as borrowers wait to see if costs will be cut for the first time since the pandemic.

    Economists are split over whether the Bank’s policymakers will decide it is the right time to reduce rates on Thursday.

    The UK’s base rate has been held at 5.25% since August last year as part of the central bank’s task to put a lid on unruly inflation.

    But with inflation hitting the Bank’s 2% target level for the past two months, hopes have been raised that rates can start to be reduced, easing the pressure on borrowers.

    If so, it would mark the first time that UK rates have been cut since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic in March 2020.

    James Smith, developed market economist for ING, said it will be a “close call” but he expects a majority of policymakers to vote in favour of a 0.25 percentage point rate cut on Thursday.

  • Pound rises as traders reduce rate cut bets

    The pound is currently 0.1% up against the US dollar as traders reduce bets on the Bank of England cutting interest rates next month.

    Sterling was up to $1.287 on the day after falling by 0.4% on Thursday from $1.29 to $1.286.

    Traders had ramped up bets on policymakers cutting rates in August to as high as 56% after data indicated the Fed would likely cut rates in September.

    However, money markets now put chances of a summer rate cut at 44%, while the odds of a reduction in borrowing costs by September stands at 86%.

    The next decision on UK interest rates will announced on 1 August.

  • Stocks edged higher for final trading session of the week

    London, UK. 28th June 2024. A view of Bishopsgate in the City of London, the capital's financial district. Credit: Vuk Valcic/Alamy
    London, UK. 28th June 2024. A view of Bishopsgate in the City of London, the capital's financial district. Credit: Vuk Valcic/Alamy (Vuk Valcic)

    Pierre Veyret, technical analyst at ActivTrades, said:

    "Stocks edged slightly higher for the last trading session of the week in Europe, paring some of yesterday's losses ahead of critical macro data in the US."

    "In a break from the negative market sentiment of recent days, the corrective moves are primarily due to short-sellers buying back some of their position following the global rout seen this week on equity markets."

    "With a lack of significant changes in market drivers, we see today's slight rebound as a technical price action rather than something bigger and more directional."

  • Drax surges on strong profits and share buyback

    Drax shares surged as much as 13.5% in London on Friday as the biomass power station business lifted City guidance alongside a 23% rise in half-year earnings to £515m. It also announced a £300m buy back of shares starting in the next quarter.

    The company, which is the UK’s largest source of renewable energy, reported profits of £463m in the six months to the end of June, up from £338m in the same period last year.

    Will Gardiner, chief executive of Drax, said: "Drax has delivered a strong operational performance, playing an important role supporting the UK energy system with dispatchable, renewable power, keeping the lights on for millions of homes and businesses."

    The company, whose North Yorkshire site generates enough renewable electricity a year to power the equivalent of over eight million homes, said it looked forward to working with ministers on delivering the government’s 2030 net zero ambitions.

    As well as the biomass Drax power station, the group operates the Cruachan hydro site and is developing opportunities around bioenergy with carbon capture and storage.

  • 8 champion homes in Olympic host cities

    The world’s greatest multi-sports competition is finally upon us. Over the next 16 days, 10,500 athletes will participate in the biggest sporting event ever held in France.

    To celebrate the 2024 Paris Olympic Games and the Paralympic Games, we’ve picked a selection of properties in Olympic host cities past, present and future. From historic houses to shiny new apartments, everyone’s a winner – and they're all looking for a new owner.

    Read the full article here

  • Tech and AI stocks tumble – how, why, and what’s next?

    The market turbulence, which saw major US stock indices experience their worst day in over 18 months on Wednesday, is creating a unique buying opportunity for savvy investors, particularly in the technology and artificial intelligence (AI) sectors.

    It comes as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite tumbled by 2.3% and 3.6%, respectively, with the decline driven by some of the most influential tech stocks.

    Nigel Green, the CEO of deVere Group, said:

    "The catalysts for this market downturn were earnings reports from Tesla and Alphabet, which fell short of the lofty expectations set by analysts.”

    ​“Yet, it’s essential to understand the context behind these numbers. The technology sector, particularly companies investing heavily in AI, has been the primary driver of market gains this year.

    ​"The so-called Magnificent Seven, comprising Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Tesla, Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon, have propelled the market with their ambitious AI initiatives. These companies are not just dabbling in AI; they are making significant, long-term investments that will shape the future of technology.

    “The recent dip in its stock price, therefore, should be seen as a temporary setback rather than a reflection of its long-term potential,”

  • Rightmove profits edge higher

    Rightmove (RMV.L) reported a 7% rise in half-year revenues to £192.1m, leading to a 2% increase in operating profit to £131.6m.

    For the full year, it expects revenue growth of between 7% and 9%, with membership growth of up to 2% across estate agency and new home and full-year average revenue per advertiser growth of £78-85.

    Chief executive Johan Svanstrom said: “Our performance came against the backdrop of the sustained challenging mortgage rate environment.

    “The period saw a pick-up in existing-homes listings and transactions, a continued yet softening imbalance of demand and supply for rentals, and a tentative outlook for new homes development volumes.

    “With the election now concluded, the property market looks forward to potential interest rate reductions which will further stimulate activity.”

    The property platform added that it was prepared for a surge in housing deals amid falling mortgage rates.

    It is hoped that the Bank of England will unveil its first rate cut in four years as soon as next week, leading to further mortgage rates drops and rising house market activity.

    The probability of an interest rate cut stands next week at 48% versus 52% for a rate hold, according to figures from LSEG based on analyst forecasts.

    Charlie Huggins, Manager at Wealth Club, said:

    “These are solid but uninspiring results from Rightmove. Even without much growth, Rightmove is still a cash cow. But with the competitive environment hotting up, Rightmove cannot afford to rest on its laurels."

  • Eurostar services disrupted ahead of Olympics

    Passengers at the Eurostar terminal at St Pancras station in central London. French rail officials say several lines have been hit by
    Passengers at the Eurostar terminal at St Pancras station in central London. French rail officials say several lines have been hit by (James Manning, PA Images)

    Eurostar services to and from Paris have been disrupted due to widespread acts of vandalism to France’s high-speed rail network. It comes just hours before the Paris Olympics are due to begin.

    All high speed trains to and from the French capital are being diverted via the classic line today, extending the journey time by about 90 minutes, the company said. Several trains have been cancelled.

    A spokesperson for SNCF, the French rail operator, said:

    "This is a massive attack on a large scale to paralyse the TGV network."

  • Best UK savings accounts offering above inflation rates

    UK households are always looking for ways to make their money go further amid the cost of living crisis and savings accounts can help.

    After years of low rates, high-yield savings accounts are having a moment as the Bank of England has kept interest rates at a 16-year high of 5.25%. While homeowners face higher mortgages, there is a silver lining in higher borrowing costs and consumers can now find UK savings accounts offering higher than inflation rates.

    The UK rate of inflation came in at 2% in May for the first time in nearly three years, according to figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS). It was unchanged in June.

    Savers should shop around to find the best deals and check what rate they are on – as they could still be sitting on a product that does not beat inflation.

    Read the full article here

  • NatWest buys 10,000 mortgages from Metro as profits fall

    NatWest's (NWG.L) first-half pretax operating profit fell by 16% to £3bn, as the lender revealed it has acquired a raft of mortgages from Metro Bank for £2.4bn.

    The bank reported earnings results showing pre-tax profits dropped 16% to £3bn for the six months to June 30. Despite the fall, the result was better than the £2.6bn most analysts had expected.

    It came as the bank suffered a 2.4% drop in net interest income, which is a key measure of profitability for lenders, and accounts for the difference between what is charged for loans and what is paid out to savers.

    NatWest also announced it had agreed to buy around £2.5bn worth of residential mortgages from Metro Bank for £2.4bn in cash, which will see it add around 10,000 borrowers to the group. It follows the lender’s deal last month to buy the retail banking assets of Sainsbury’s, the supermarket group.

    “NatWest has echoed the theme from Lloyds Banking yesterday with a creditable half-yearly performance boosted by a strong second quarter," Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor, said.

    In a sign of its confidence in its performance for the rest of the year, NatWest lifted its 2024 forecast for return on tangible equity to above 14%, from the 12% expected previously.

    The lender now expects full-year income to come to £14bn, a notable bump from previous forecasts of between £13bn and £13.5bn.

  • RAC: Drivers have every right to feel ripped off

    The RAC has written to the new energy secretary to try and get action taken on the fuel issue [see post below], following the findings of the third monitoring report by the CMA.

    Simon Williams, head of policy at the RAC, said:

    "To see that drivers have paid £1.6bn more than they should have in the last year is nothing short of outrageous, especially when so many are dependent on their vehicles.

    "Drivers have every right to feel ripped off, especially knowing there is virtually no market competition between retailers.

    "Our analysis has long shown that even accounting for retailers’ increased operating costs, margins on fuel are at extremely questionable levels."

  • Drivers still paying too much for fuel, says CMA

    Drivers are still paying too much for their fuel, according to the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) on Friday, with increases in retailers’ fuel margins costing consumers £1.6bn last year.

    The watchdog said retail margins are “significantly” above historic levels. Increases in fuel margins cost drivers more than £1.6bn in 2023 alone, with supermarkets’ fuel margins roughly double what they were in 2019.

    CMA chief executive Sarah Cardell said:

    "Last year we found that competition in the road fuel market was failing consumers, and published proposals that would revitalise competition amongst fuel retailers.

    "One year on and drivers are still paying too much. We want to work with government to put in place our recommendation of a real-time fuel finder scheme to kick-start competition among retailers.

    "This will put the power in the hands of drivers who can compare fuel prices wherever they are, sparking greater competition."

  • Mercedes profits skid thanks to weak electric car sales

    Gaziveren Cyprus 04.29.2024 black Mercedes C180 body parts 2
    Gaziveren Cyprus 04.29.2024 black Mercedes C180 body parts 2 (mikhail shorokhov)

    Profits plunged at carmaker Mercedes as it suffered a sharp drop in electric vehicle sales.

    Underlying adjusted earnings fell 28% to €2.8bn (£2.3bn) in the second quarter as it reported that battery electric car sales fell by a quarter compared to the same period last year.

    It sold 45,843 battery electric cars during the three months to June.

    Electric vehicle sales were down 17% over the first half of the year to 93,364.

    It said:

    “The pace of the ramp-up of electric vehicles slowed in key markets," adding that this had been partially a result of the end of the environmental bonus for electric vehicles in Germany, which was brought to an end in December."

    The group also slightly lowered its carmaking margin outlook to 10% to 11%, down from between 11% to 12%.

  • Asia and US stocks

    Stocks were mixed in Asia overnight as markets rebounded somewhat from the heavy sell-off on Thursday.

    The Nikkei (^N225) slipped 0.5% on the day in Japan, after sinking 3.3% the day before.

    It came as Tokyo’s core consumer price index rose 2.2% in July, rising for the third straight month to its highest level in four months, adding to expectations that the Bank of Japan may raise its near-zero benchmark interest rate at a policy meeting next week.

    The Hang Seng (^HSI) was 0.05% higher in Hong Kong while the Shanghai Composite (000001.SS) was 0.1% up by the end of the session.

    The gains followed a split on Wall Street, where general stocks and other formerly downtrodden areas of the market rose while superstar Big Tech stocks gave back more of their stellar gains.

    The S&P 500 (^GSPC) dropped 0.5% to close at 5,399.22, following its slide from the day before, which was its worst since 2022.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) managed to eke out a 0.2% gain, while the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) sank 0.9%. Meanwhile, the Russell 2000 of smaller companies climbed 1.3%.

    In the bond market, the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury bonds dropped to 4.24% from 4.28% late on Wednesday.

  • Coming up...

    Good morning, and welcome back to our markets live blog. Here's what's on the agenda for today:

    • 7am: Trading updates: Babcock, Rightmove, Drax, Segro,

    • 9am: Italy business and consumer confidence, July

    • 9.45am: Allan Leighton, former chair of Royal Mail and Post Office, to give evidence at the Horizon IT public inquiry

    • 1pm: USA Core PCE Price Index (June), PCE Price Index (June)

    • 3pm: University of Michigan Confidence (Final) (US)

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