Forget Snapchat's Redesign, This Trend May Kill the App

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Snap (NYSE: SNAP) caught a lot of flak from users and critics for its Snapchat redesign that separated friends and family posts from those of commercial interests, including celebrities. Despite near universal criticism, downloads of the app went from being down 35% year over year prior to the redesign to being down only 8% from the prior year a week after its release.

More than likely that's just a lot of people interested in finding out what the hullabaloo was about and if the redesign was as bad as everyone said, but Snapchat has an even bigger problem that could ultimately sound a death knell for its success: Older people are increasingly using the app.

Two elderly women taking a selfie.
Two elderly women taking a selfie.

Image source: Getty Images.

Not so hip to be square

According to the researchers at eMarketer, Snapchat usage is growing, but it's because the age of the typical Snapchat user is rising. In 2015, nearly 28% of users were between 12 and 24 years of age while 11% were 25 to 34 years old. However, it forecasts that by 2021, users between 25 to 34 years old will be the single largest demographic, accounting for more than 24% of its base.

Worse, from a kid's perspective, is that grandparents are the fastest growing age group of Snapchat users. Usage among teens 12 to 17 years old grew by 29% in 2015, but is expected to steadily decline to the point where it only accounts for 0.7% growth in 2021, and user growth among those 18 to 24 year old will also taper off. Meanwhile, Snapchat usage by those 55 and older is projected to be its greatest source of growth from 2018 on -- that cohort is expected to account for 58% of the app's growth this year.

What could make this all the more devastating for Snap is that this is all planned. CEO Evan Spiegel said "We believe that the redesign has also made our application simpler and easier to use, especially for older users," making it clear that Snap is actively pursuing these users.

Yet like the Steve Buscemi scene from 30 Rock where he goes back to high school carrying a skateboard over his shoulder, wearing his ball cap backwards, and says, "How do you do, fellow kids," there's nothing like an app becoming your parents' (or grandparents') favorite social platform to kill the buzz among tweens and teens.

A place of their own

While teens migrated to Facebook (NASDAQ: FB) after the demise of MySpace, the social networking site was always seen as the hangout for adults while the latter was viewed as the favorite of kids. Now with Instagram and Snapchat available, Facebook is hemorrhaging younger users.